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Topic

US-South Korea Alliance

The security relationship between Washington and Seoul, including force presence, exercises and burden sharing.

Current stories

investConfirmed2 publishers

Washington presses Seoul on intelligence standards after six months of curbs on North Korea data

Washington told Seoul to uphold decades-long alliance standards on intelligence after Seoul's spy agency was kept out of a June trilateral cyber meeting. So far the cost sits in intelligence, where Seoul's top general says US curbs on North Korean nuclear data have run past six months, the Seoul Economic Daily reported.

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Insufficient
Hype gap+10
Incentives
Insufficient
Confidence55
investConfirmed5 publishers

Korea drill cuts rhyme with 2018, and 2018 led straight to a cost-sharing fight

Trump has told the Pentagon to substantially reduce exercises with Seoul. Last time drills were suspended, the bill for 28,500 US troops was reopened about seven months later.

Perspective Coverage

5 publishers
Builder
Builder 5%
Operator
Operator 64%
Investor
Investor 31%

Reality

Evidence68
Adoption75
Hype gap+25
Incentives60
Confidence65
investConfirmed3 publishers

Ulchi Freedom Shield loses six of eleven days, and two incompatible reasons why

Washington cut its flagship Korea exercise by 55% and killed an amphibious drill, citing Iran force constraints. Trump also cited Seoul's Iran policy. Both cannot be the binding reason.

Perspective Coverage

3 publishers
Builder
Builder 7%
Operator
Operator 58%
Investor
Investor 35%

Reality

Evidence60
Adoption
Insufficient
Hype gap+20
Incentives
Insufficient
Confidence58