Cape Canaveral's counter-drone capability will come from a Pentagon task force that selects and fields it, while the station supplies the integration and the shift crews it is still asking the Air Force to provide.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives60
- Confidence45
Perseus says each Mk-III costs about $2,500 to build, a fortieth of the price of the missiles militaries have fired at cheap drones. The figure a buyer writing a requirement needs is the cost per interception.
Reality
- Evidence30
- Adoption20
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives72
- Confidence52
Hanwha and Lockheed Martin UK swapped the Redback's 30mm cannon for a CTA International 40mm and put an air defence command system inside the turret, and the two firms say they are pursuing NATO and allied customers.
Reality
- Evidence38
- Adoption22
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives78
- Confidence45
AB Swiftstrike AI is folding AEye's STRATOS lidar into its autonomous counter-drone platform to see aircraft that stay off the air, on the strength of a detection range AEye states for objects at 0.93 miles.
Reality
- Evidence30
- Adoption12
- Hype gap+38
- Incentives74
- Confidence40
The Twinvis air picture was fused into Rheinmetall's Skymaster over Link 16 while Skymaster directed a Skynex battery, which makes emitter-free detection specifiable, though the release never says a passive track cued a shot.
Reality
- Evidence28
- Adoption27
- Hype gap+34
- Incentives82
- Confidence44
San Francisco's Mara raised $7 million for a tube-launched interceptor weighing 250 grams, on the argument that fiber-spooled and self-navigating FPV drones have made jamming unreliable enough that buyers now shop on cost per kill.
Reality
- Evidence22
- Adoption8
- Hype gap+45
- Incentives82
- Confidence60
A government test used the SGT STOUT package on a Stryker's existing hardware to defeat simulated Group 1 and Group 2 targets. The procurement implication is the interesting part.
Reality
- Evidence32
- Adoption46
- Hype gap+34
- Incentives76
- Confidence33
ThinKom's Alecto contract funds one of four prototypes, with field testing in 2027. The hard requirement is not the microwave itself, it is engaging drones without halting the vehicle.
Reality
- Evidence28
- Adoption14
- Hype gap+42
- Incentives72
- Confidence44