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Fluid reasoning and verbal knowledge stand out as math predictors in a meta-analysis of 122 test batteries

Researchers pooling 122 cognitive test batteries rank fluid reasoning and comprehension knowledge among the most consistent predictors of math skill. That gives math screening two abilities to check, and a co-author says early number sense matters just as much.

The Scientist · Science desk

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What happened

  • The meta-analysis, led by Christopher R. Niileksela with Texas A&M's Daniel Hajovsky among the co-authors, appears in the Journal of Intelligence.
  • The math outcomes it covers include math knowledge, calculation, problem solving and fluency, drawn from norm-referenced standardized test batteries.
  • Hajovsky said number sense, a general understanding of how numbers relate to each other, was just as important a foundation for later math skills.
  • Hajovsky wants new screening approaches that give struggling students targeted support early, because math topics build on earlier ones.

Why it matters

  • decision An assessor working up a struggling math student has grounds to check language and reasoning alongside number skills, and error patterns can show which of the three is failing.
  • constraint Because the study relates scores on existing tests, it cannot justify drilling fluid reasoning to lift math scores; only a controlled training trial could support that.
  • capability Agreement across 122 batteries means a school psychologist using any of the common instruments has a defensible basis for weighting these two abilities in a math work-up.
  • constraint With all mental tasks positively correlated, a low reasoning score may partly signal a general weakness, so specific-ability profiles need cautious interpretation before instruction is tailored to them.

The useful design choice here is the pooling. A single battery, such as the Wechsler test commonly used to evaluate children's intellectual abilities [14], measures abilities in its own way, so a link found in one instrument can belong to that instrument. Putting 122 distinct batteries into one analysis [4] tests which abilities keep turning up beside math skill whoever built the test. Fluid reasoning and comprehension knowledge came out as two of the most consistent [3].

Consistency is about agreement across instruments. Size is a separate question. The published summary does not report effect sizes, so a reader cannot yet tell how much of the spread in math skill these two abilities account for.

Comprehension knowledge covers language, vocabulary and verbal reasoning. Fluid reasoning is deductive or inductive reasoning [5]. Daniel Hajovsky, an associate professor of educational psychology at Texas A&M and a co-author of the paper [1][2], said of comprehension knowledge: "It's important for reading, it's important for writing and we see now it's important for mathematics." [6] For fluid reasoning he offers a test question: "How well can a student learn a game when there are no prior rules or background knowledge required for it?" [7]

Hajovsky also described the finding that complicates any single-ability account. "Performance on one mental task is positively correlated with performance on a different mental task," he said [10]. Such tasks are "both tapping into this mental engine that drives performance on these unique cognitive tasks," in his words [16]. When every ability correlates with every other, I'd expect part of any link between reasoning and math to come from that shared engine and not from reasoning alone.

Number sense sits beside the two cognitive abilities. It was "just as important and a strong foundation for later math skills," Hajovsky said [8]. He added: "Cognitive abilities are important for learning and academic outcomes, but it's not what fully makes up someone's math ability." [9]

The study relates scores across existing tests [4]. That design shows which abilities travel with math skill. It cannot show that training fluid reasoning would raise a child's calculation or problem-solving scores. Answering that takes a trial with a control group.

Hajovsky's own proposal stays close to what the data support. He wants screening that looks at "the pattern of errors" a student makes [11], to work out "whether math challenges stem from conceptual difficulties like language, reasoning or efficiency issues" [15]. He argues for acting early because math classes build on earlier topics [12]. He also said these skills keep developing inside and outside the classroom and can be built through time and effort [13].

What to watch

  • Effect sizes in the full Journal of Intelligence paper, especially how much math variance the two abilities explain beyond general ability.
  • Randomized trials that train reasoning or vocabulary and measure calculation and problem-solving outcomes against a control group.
  • Whether schools pilot Hajovsky's error-analysis screening and publish math outcomes from it.

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  1. [1]

    Daniel Hajovsky is an associate professor in the Department of Educational Psychology at Texas A&M University who studies human intelligence and the cognitive processes that affect learning.

    ReportedSupportedSource: phys.orgView cited source
  2. [2]

    The study, Cognitive-Mathematics Relations: A Meta-Analysis of Norm-Referenced Standardized Test Batteries, by Christopher R. Niileksela et al., with Hajovsky among the co-authors, was published in the Journal of Intelligence in 2026.

    ReportedSupportedSource: phys.orgView cited source
  3. [3]

    The findings point to fluid reasoning and comprehension knowledge as two of the most consistent cognitive predictors of math skills.

    ReportedSupportedSource: phys.orgView cited source

Sources

1 independent publisher whose own reporting we read for this story.

  1. phys.org

    1 article · October 7, 2026

    Why some people are good at math while others struggle

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