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Strategy's bitcoin stack is 3.8% above cost, and that gap is the whole green headline

One price level separates a paper loss from a paper profit at Michael Saylor's company. The cushion on 840,447 coins works out to $3,015 each.

The Investor · Invest desk

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Photograph accompanying Strategy's bitcoin stack is 3.8% above cost, and that gap is the whole green headline
Photo: decrypt.co

What happened

  • With bitcoin at $78,400, Strategy's holdings are worth about $65.89 billion against $63.36 billion paid, a paper gain near $2.53 billion.
  • In July, with bitcoin near $58,000, the same position was roughly $13 billion in the red, a six-week swing of about $15.5 billion.
  • MSTR closed Friday at $119.25, up 27.4% on the month and still 67% below its 52-week high of $365.21.
  • Spot bitcoin ETFs took $1.92 billion of net inflows over the week, $307 million of it on Friday.

Why it matters

  • constraint The green position survives a 3.8% retrace and no more, so the solvency optics reset without any decision by management.
  • decision The reserve is worth about 85,500 coins, and every week it stays in dollars is a choice to fund dividends and buybacks rather than the stack.
  • exposure Anyone marking this equity is exposed to one number: $840 million of reported gain or loss per $1,000 of bitcoin price.

Strategy paid an average of $75,385 a coin across 840,447 bitcoin [2]. At $78,400 that leaves $3,015 of cushion per coin, or 3.8% of the current price [14]. The same coin count means the treasury's reported result moves in $840 million increments: every $1,000 on the tape is $840 million of unrealized gain or loss [16]. Nothing in the operating business produces numbers of that size, so the headline is set by a print the company does not control.

What management did while the position was underwater is the more useful record. Since May it sold 6,948 bitcoin for about $432.5 million and put the proceeds into buying back STRC, its variable-rate preferred [6], including 1,690 coins for $109 million in the week ending August 9 [7]. That averages roughly $62,250 a coin, about $13,100 below the stated cost basis, or close to $91 million of realized loss [15]. Michael Saylor had spent years saying Strategy would never sell bitcoin [10]. Through the months when the price sat in the low-to-mid $60,000s, below cost, the company was a net seller of coins and a net seller of its own shares [9].

The recovery, then, was not bought at home. Tyler Warner, writing in Decrypt's Morning Minute, attributes the turn to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent starting yield curve control and the resulting capital flood into the spot bitcoin ETFs, and argues bitcoin plainly does not need Saylor's bid [19]. It came in the week bitcoin closed its largest weekly candle on record, up 23% at $78.9k [13].

That leaves the cash question. The $6.7 billion dollar reserve [8] is about 85,500 coins at Friday's price, roughly a tenth more stack than the company already holds [17]. It is also the same money funding preferred dividends and defending STRC, which was quoted at $95.60 against the $100 handle [11]. Those are rival uses, and only one of them adds coins.

The equity has already picked a side. MSTR's one-month move is close to seven times the entire cushion the coins carry [18], which is what a levered claim on a single price level looks like when the price cooperates. For anyone marking the position, the operating decisions matter less than whether $75,385 holds.

What to watch

  • Whether Strategy resumes buying with the dollar reserve, and at what price it decides to bid.
  • Whether STRC clears $100 without further buyback support, which would free cash for coins.
  • Whether ETF inflows hold near last week's $1.92 billion pace, given how little cushion the cost basis leaves.

Clarity's read

What the record supports and how the coverage leans. The claims behind it follow.

Reality

Evidence42
Adoption55
Hype gap+34
Incentives62
Confidence50
Why these scores

Claim ledger

Ranked by verification strength, evidence, and original report placement.

  1. [1]

    At $78,400 per bitcoin, Strategy's stack is worth about $65.89 billion against $63.36 billion paid, an unrealized gain near $2.53 billion, or 4.0%.

  2. [2]

    Strategy holds 840,447 bitcoin bought at an average price of $75,385.

    ReportedSupportedSource: Decrypt Morning Minute (Tyler Warner)View cited source
  3. [3]

    The move represents a swing of roughly $15.5 billion in six weeks.

    ReportedSupportedView cited source

Sources

1 independent publisher whose own reporting we read for this story.

  1. decrypt.co

    1 article · August 24, 2026

    Morning Minute: Saylor’s Strategy Back in Green As BTC Soars to $78k

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