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Apple's November 2 results give the first full-quarter read on its June hardware price increases

Apple reports fiscal fourth-quarter results on November 2 against its own forecast of 9% to 11% revenue growth, in John Ternus's first call as CEO. Hardware buyers should listen for what he and CFO Kevan Parekh say about memory pricing and supply.

The Product Desk · Product desk

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Illustration accompanying Apple's November 2 results give the first full-quarter read on its June hardware price increases
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What happened

  • Apple's growth forecast assumes a 2.5-point currency headwind and significantly greater supply constraints on iPhone, Mac and iPad.
  • Measured against $102.47 billion in revenue a year earlier, the forecast implies $111.69 billion to $113.74 billion for the quarter.
  • The higher-priced iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max went on sale September 18, eight days before the quarter closed on September 26.

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Why it matters

  • constraint Anyone judging whether buyers accept the higher iPhone 18 Pro prices gets about a week of sales from this report, too little to settle the question.
  • cost With margin guided at or below last quarter's level once tariff refunds are stripped out, Apple shows little room to give back the June increases, so hardware budgets should assume those prices hold into the holidays.
  • precedent Ternus's first full quarter as CEO is reported in late January, so the holiday outlook he gives on November 2 becomes the first benchmark his tenure is measured against.

Picture an IT lead who priced a Mac or iPad refresh in early June and reopened the quote in July. The numbers on it had gone up, because Apple raised prices across much of its hardware lineup in late June [7]. That buyer has had a full quarter to decide whether to pay. The November 2 report is the first Apple account that covers all of it [1][7].

Procurement and finance teams will want to read the revenue line as a demand gauge. Apple itself expected significantly greater supply constraints on iPhone, Mac and iPad this quarter [4], so revenue mostly counts what it could build and ship at the higher prices. A buyer who wanted a machine and could not get one, or chose to wait, leaves no trace in it.

Add back the expected 2.5-point currency drag and the forecast works out to roughly 11.5% to 13.5% growth in constant currency [19]. MacRumors reports that Apple expects iPhone revenue to grow in the mid-teens despite the same currency and supply pressures [17]. Neither outlet's account splits that growth between higher prices and more units.

Buyers' costs show up in the margin line. Take the roughly two points of tariff refunds out of last quarter's 50.1% and Apple's gross margin was near 48.1% [14][20]. The 47% to 48% guide is flat to about a point below that [20]. 9to5Mac describes the September quarter as another one of memory shortages and rising component costs [12].

On the new phones, the iPhone line tells you even less. The iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max were on sale for nine of the quarter's 91 days [18]. 9to5Mac says the results are unlikely to give a meaningful indication of Pro demand [9]. MacRumors notes they will include launch-week sales [10]. The iPhone Duo, due October 23, falls outside the quarter [16].

If you are holding a hardware order, the call matters more than the release. MacRumors says executives may also share holiday-quarter expectations [11].

I'd sort what they say on two axes. The first is whether supply on iPhone, Mac and iPad is described as easing or still tight. The second is whether the holiday-quarter margin guide sits above or below the current 47% to 48% [14]. If supply stays tight and margin falls, costs are still climbing and stock is short, so waiting gets you neither a machine nor a discount. When supply is tight but margin rises, the price increases are covering costs, and getting an order in early matters more than shopping on price. Easing supply with a falling margin is the one case where holding out for retail discounts makes sense, since stock is available and Apple is already accepting thinner margins. With supply easing and margin rising, nothing in the call argues for moving a refresh date already on the calendar.

I'd advise anyone with a year-end deadline to order on the supply comments and give little weight to whether revenue lands inside the range. The tradeoff is paying late-June prices for machines that could cost less by spring.

What to watch

  • Whether Parekh breaks out how much of iPhone's expected mid-teens growth came from higher prices against more units shipped.
  • Any change to Mac or iPad list prices after the call; a cut or a further rise settles the order-timing question directly.
  • The December-quarter report, the first to show whether higher iPhone 18 Pro prices hold over a full quarter of sales.
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