International IDEA's review of 39 national elections in 2025 recorded disinformation narratives in at least 62% of them. Its authors still judge election quality broadly stable and offer 20 case studies as lessons for other countries.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap−10
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence55
Foreign Affairs argues last weekend's United Russia landslide was organised in advance to display total commitment to the war, while the Levada Center's own numbers show approval and public morale falling underneath it.
Reality
- Evidence44
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives58
- Confidence46
The National Centre for Information Defence is meant to detect, attribute and disrupt foreign information attacks. The evidence Burnham cited includes Russian forgery of the branding of 28 British organisations.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption12
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives70
- Confidence50
AB 1130 gives the Fair Political Practices Commission power to fine an undisclosed paid political post $5,000 and to refer it to law enforcement. The penalty follows the creator who took the campaign's money.
Reality
- Evidence64
- Adoption42
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives58
- Confidence70
UC San Diego's election center puts confidence in the national vote count at 55%, down from 77% just after the 2024 election. The fall since January has been steepest among independents.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives55
- Confidence60
The litigation over whether election wagers are illegal gambling will not conclude before votes are counted, which leaves the platforms booking their largest volume inside about 25 states whose statutes ban it.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption40
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives75
- Confidence58
A European Commission analysis found women candidates drew 71% of the worst abuse on X, and a different kind of it. Divide by reply volume and the gap stops being significant.
Reality
- Evidence48
- Adoption30
- Hype gap+14
- Incentives58
- Confidence45