buildOne report1 publisher Percona CEO Peter Farkas says open-weight models lack open source's freedoms, even as they carried 56% of Vercel AI Gateway tokens in August. For teams choosing a model, the license and what was actually released now belong in the review.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption62
- Hype gap+8
- Incentives30
- Confidence60
China hosted 41% of the world's top AI researchers in 2025 to 34% for the US, reversing their 2022 order, Carnegie China found. The study partly blames US visa rules, yet 53.5% of DeepSeek's authors never worked or studied abroad.
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence40
OpenAI scrapped GPT-6.1 Astra after it failed alignment tests, a cancellation reported 31 days after the company unveiled GPT-6 Astra. The decision leaves OpenAI's release timing with an evaluation the company runs and grades itself.
Reality
- Evidence35
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives60
- Confidence35
Singapore-registered Brightray is pitching data centers built by Chinese manufacturer PrefabDC to US buyers, promising to halve two-to-three-year build times. A buyer who takes the faster schedule also takes the risk that Washington bans new types of Chinese data center components.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives70
- Confidence45
Kion's chief executive argues in Forbes that tokens need cloud-style FinOps discipline, citing a 286-fold fall in per-token inference cost alongside LLM spending that tripled in 2025 and 93 percent of surveyed firms overrunning their AI budgets.
Reality
- Evidence30
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+45
- Incentives85
- Confidence62
The three figures count firms, employment and individual workers, and the Census Bureau declared its own earlier adoption numbers incomparable after one clause in the question changed. Boards borrow such numbers to set targets.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption58
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives60
- Confidence52
Stanford's AI Index puts a 142-fold parameter cut and a more than 280-fold price cut behind one fixed MMLU threshold. That narrows where building your own still pays, and it lands in a state-law count that doubled in a year.
Publishers:hai.stanford.edu
Reality
- Evidence60
- Adoption68
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives40
- Confidence57
The capability claim is specific enough for a product team to test, with one image going in and up to a minute of 1440p video plus 3D splats coming out, though the camera-path win rests on a blind human study World Labs ran itself.
Reality
- Evidence32
- Adoption12
- Hype gap+34
- Incentives78
- Confidence40
The company says its in-house Thomson-1 matches Claude Opus 4.8 on internal evals, and that the Alibaba base is de-biased. Nobody outside can check either claim.
Reality
- Evidence30
- Adoption30
- Hype gap+38
- Incentives72
- Confidence42