Curtin University researchers sampled 20 Ningaloo Reef colonies and found two Porites species preparing to spawn in the reef's early fall mass spawning. That gives restoration crews a collection date, though proving reefs reproduce after heat waves also needs egg and sperm counts.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives35
- Confidence50
A Sheffield Hallam and Curtin team paired mineral grain dating with simulations of last-glaciation ice sheets. The models let ice carry the six-tonne sandstone to the North Sea and leave the rest of the 700 km to people.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives70
- Confidence42
Andrew Mummery and Adelle Goodwin report that late radio jets in ten star-shredding events switched on as the feeding rate fell to about 2% of the Eddington limit, the threshold already known from Milky Way black holes.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption12
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives65
- Confidence50
A year after promoting the under-16 social media ban at the UN, Anthony Albanese is legislating a digital duty of care and an algorithm opt-out. The enforcement that has changed Meta's products so far came from Europe and the US.
Reality
- Evidence52
- Adoption55
- Hype gap+32
- Incentives65
- Confidence55
Mapping, geophysical surveys and sediment analysis link shallow trenches up to 20 kilometres long to caves collapsing beneath them. The authors offer the faint surface sag as a way to find voids in other dry landscapes, Mars included.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives62
- Confidence55
Adelle Goodwin and Andrew Mummery modelled ten stars torn apart by supermassive black holes and found the late radio jets turning on at the same accretion threshold already known from much smaller black holes in our galaxy.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives60
- Confidence55
An Adelaide-led team reports that magma feeding volcanoes in Western Australia's Pilbara Craton drew on a source that already held water, and proposes a pre-plate-tectonic process called dripduction to explain how it got down there.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives60
- Confidence55
More than 160,000 "empty box" listings on eBay have turned packaging into a priced credential. Credentials that trade apart from the goods they certify become a fraud surface.
Reality
- Evidence52
- Adoption58
- Hype gap+24
- Incentives57
- Confidence55