London recorded one IPO in the third quarter, a £29.8m AIM listing, and eight in nine months, EY says. Nine-month proceeds of £606.9m beat last year's £199.1m, but EY says most firms weighing a listing are looking to 2027.
Reality
- Evidence72
- Adoption20
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives45
- Confidence68
Peel Hunt counts 42 live bids worth £74bn for London-listed firms, more than double the £35bn bid across 2025. Bid numbers are close to 2025's and the targets are larger, so the stronger evidence that London is emptying sits on the listing side.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence55
City minister Lucy Rigby says London's listing reforms are "not a job done", citing the £5.3bn Airtel Money IPO as a sign of "renewed momentum". For boards choosing a venue, the Treasury is signalling more reform but has not yet named a measure they could price.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption20
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives70
- Confidence50
Oura, SB Energy, EG Group and Holtec have postponed listings in the four months since SpaceX's $75bn June float. Several have no tie to AI, so founders planning an exit face a pricing problem in every sector and a pipeline drifting toward 2027.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence50
Airtel Money is reportedly seeking an $8 billion to $9 billion valuation in a London IPO, with existing holders selling at least $800 million of shares. At that price, Airtel Africa's roughly 78% stake would equal about half of the parent's own market value.
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives75
- Confidence40