The Bridgewater founder said in a video for the World Economic Forum that over-investment in world-changing technology creates debt and then a bubble and then a bust. Fortune puts the dotcom version at a 77% Nasdaq fall.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives60
- Confidence50
A Milken Institute report says heirs are pushing their parents to give money away faster. Its evidence is a practitioner's observation and Scott's $26 billion, set against $18.3 trillion of billionaire wealth.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption20
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives60
- Confidence55
Eric Zwick and Owen Zidar spent months making the IRS's individual and business filing systems talk to each other. When they sorted the top 1% by pass-through profits, doctors and auto dealers came out near the top.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+28
- Incentives55
- Confidence45
American millionaires now number in the tens of millions. The dollar figure that defines one has been eroding for three decades. Segmenting clients on a $1 million line sorts on a stale number.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives60
- Confidence45
Federal Reserve data put the second-quarter share at 48.23% of household financial assets. The wealthiest tenth of households owns about 87% of the equity wealth behind that record, and Goldman Sachs says the shift leaves consumer spending exposed to market swings.
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption45
- Hype gap+32
- Incentives52
- Confidence42
A generation with 20% of the population owns more than half of US household wealth, but the top decile holds 71% of it and the average boomer carries $92,619 in debt.
Reality
- Evidence56
- Adoption64
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives68
- Confidence48