Cboe is exploring a never-expiring VIX future, a design Robert Shiller proposed in 1993, though it has no contract specs or filing yet, Bloomberg reported. Holders would swap roll losses for funding payments, priced against an index that market makers cannot buy to hedge.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption5
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence55
Korea's licensed crypto exchanges lost 78% of operating income and a third of their combined market capitalization in H1 2026, a regulator survey shows. Bitcoin fell by the same third over the half, so the case for an exodus to offshore leverage has to rest on won deposits and turnover, figures that fit a move into Korean stocks just as well.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption40
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence60
Kalshi will end its volume rebate on or after October 13 as the CFTC reportedly reviews over $5 billion in repeated ether perpetual trades. Kalshi says paid market makers produced those prints, leaving investors at a $40 billion valuation to judge how much liquidity was bought.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption65
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives70
- Confidence45
OG.com Markets asked the CFTC to approve cash-settled perpetual futures on single US stocks, trading 24 hours a day on weekdays at a 15.05% minimum margin. At about 6 times leverage they would sell the trade margin accounts now offer, so brokers will pick the winning venue.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption5
- Hype gap+5
- Incentives60
- Confidence60
Two filings dated August 18 would import the structure behind an estimated 93% of crypto derivatives volume into equities and metals. Neither is approved, and the book is still small.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption15
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives55
- Confidence60
A White House remark about CFTC Chairman Michael Selig repriced HYPE and a Nasdaq treasury stock. No approval, no registration path and no timeline has been put on the record.
Perspective Coverage
8 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 12%
- Operator
- Operator 34%
- Investor
- Investor 54%
Reality
- Evidence60
- Adoption12
- Hype gap+55
- Incentives55
- Confidence65
The $480bn it waves at the SEC and CFTC is under a tenth of its own venue's volume, and the onshore category it wants to enter is one CME only reopened in July.
Reality
- Evidence60
- Adoption30
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives80
- Confidence60
Selected Hyperliquid perpetuals would trade inside a CFTC-regulated venue Payward bought for as much as $550 million, which is about 14% of one day of Hyperliquid volume. The contract list is the product.
Perspective Coverage
4 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 11%
- Operator
- Operator 38%
- Investor
- Investor 51%
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption12
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives65
- Confidence55
Coinbase's self-custodial app is back under the Coinbase Wallet name, and it is now where the company tries perps, prediction markets and tokenized stocks that its licensed exchange does not list.
Perspective Coverage
3 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 32%
- Operator
- Operator 37%
- Investor
- Investor 31%
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives65
- Confidence60
The Justice Department says two Robinhood engineers each made more than $50,000 trading Hyperliquid perpetuals ahead of Robinhood Crypto listings. Prosecutors charged commodities fraud and wire fraud instead of securities fraud.
Perspective Coverage
3 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 10%
- Operator
- Operator 50%
- Investor
- Investor 40%
Reality
- Evidence70
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives45
- Confidence65
Both venues want cash-settled contracts on the largest US listings, with funding payments in place of an expiry date, and because the underlyings are securities the products need the SEC as well as the CFTC.
Perspective Coverage
3 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 20%
- Operator
- Operator 38%
- Investor
- Investor 42%
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption3
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives45
- Confidence64
A former quant put $538.6m of 24-hour volume beside $3.1m of open interest on Kalshi's ether perpetual and called it proof of wash trading. Kalshi's crypto lead answered that the dollar sign means notional payout.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption25
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives60
- Confidence50
CFTC Chair Mike Selig says his agency will write crypto rules under existing law, with two prerules already filed at the White House. Decrypt's newsletter argues the agency can reach leveraged products such as perpetual futures, while spot trading still needs Congress.
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption20
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence45
The company says nearly $5 billion of roughly $5,500 Ether perpetual trades came from programs that pay market makers to post resting orders, and its evidence is that the maker lost money to takers who kept winning.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption45
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives78
- Confidence40
Bernstein has raised its ten-year prediction-market forecast tenfold, to $10 trillion of annual volume by 2035. Nearly half of that total comes from assuming the contracts capture 0.5% of a $900 trillion financial-asset pool.
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption60
- Hype gap+45
- Incentives70
- Confidence55
One week of perpetual futures data shows open interest up 12.8% across 15 venues. The aggregate it grew from is published at both $68.39bn and $140.23bn, depending on which venues get counted.
Reality
- Evidence24
- Adoption38
- Hype gap+42
- Incentives55
- Confidence46
Hyperliquid's open interest record on September 20 came with tokenized equities and commodities at times above 30% of the book. HIP-3 opened those markets eleven months earlier, in October 2025.
Reality
- Evidence38
- Adoption60
- Hype gap+34
- Incentives58
- Confidence45
Crypto Briefing reports NEAR's token rose from about $2.34 to $3.60 after its confidential futures product launched on Hyperliquid's engine, and the same account's price and market cap figures imply different gains.
Reality
- Evidence20
- Adoption28
- Hype gap+55
- Incentives72
- Confidence42
Prosecutors say Hefu Chai and Huaisong Xiang each cleared more than $50,000 from long perpetual positions on Hyperliquid, opened on planned listing dates they read in a private Robinhood Slack channel.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+5
- Incentives60
- Confidence52
Injective's real-world-asset perpetuals traded $214.9 million over 30 days, 3.5 times May's total, though the climb was over by July and its $5.3 billion cumulative figure averages more per month than the latest one.
Reality
- Evidence24
- Adoption30
- Hype gap+45
- Incentives70
- Confidence55
Earlier coverage
- SGX opens its crypto perpetuals to US desks with $19 million of open interest on the book
Invest · September 13, 2026 · 1 publisher
- CME sues the CFTC over a market 21 times its own crypto futures book
Invest · September 13, 2026 · 1 publisher
- Aster lists 5x LSK perpetuals 48 days before Lisk switches off its mainnet
Invest · September 13, 2026 · 1 publisher
- Kalshi lists gold and silver perpetuals on the CFTC's first non-crypto clearance
Invest · September 12, 2026 · 1 publisher
- Coinbase routes its new 50x perps feed through Hyperliquid's order book
Invest · September 11, 2026 · 1 publisher
- Kalshi's 60 stock and ETF perpetuals need both the CFTC and the SEC to say yes
Invest · September 11, 2026 · 1 publisher
- trade.xyz's average perp month runs 2.5 times April's combined Kalshi and Polymarket volume
Invest · September 10, 2026 · 2 publishers
- Kalshi lines up sixty stock perps that would keep trading after Nasdaq closes
Invest · September 11, 2026 · 1 publisher
- Two trillion dollars of RWA perpetual volume pays $400,000 a day in fees
Invest · September 7, 2026 · 1 publisher
- Connecticut warns of DeFi risks after $200,000 loss, naming seven offshore platforms as examples
Invest · September 5, 2026 · 1 publisher
- Ondo tells the SEC and CFTC that stock perps are already legal
Invest · September 3, 2026 · 1 publisher
- A Kalshi-funded letter asks the SEC and CFTC to write perps rules to actual risk
Invest · August 31, 2026 · 2 publishers
- Cboe puts a 404% number on the gap between perps and 0DTE options
Invest · August 18, 2026 · 1 publisher