Task Force Legio hands course design to the people it teaches, and drops the two subjects where the students know more. What came back the other way was a capability gap.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives40
- Confidence55
Brig. Gen. Terry Tillis said 1,000 of the roughly 2,000 drones at the Germany exercise were consumable. The Pentagon's Drone Dominance program is spending $1 billion on at least 200,000 drones through 2027.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption68
- Hype gap+14
- Incentives72
- Confidence58
Frontline Robotics says soldiers asked for one person to run several robots, and its newer drones now fly to a target area and return on a single button press, with the decision to use force still held by a human.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption55
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives74
- Confidence50
Northrop's PGK E5 puts anti-jamming into a 155 mm guidance kit that keeps the same fit and form as fielded stock. First deliveries are expected in early 2028, and the accuracy claim comes from Northrop's own testing.
Reality
- Evidence32
- Adoption22
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives78
- Confidence55
TERN says its Independently Derived Positioning System will keep Army vehicles located when satellite signals are jammed or spoofed. What the announcement leaves out is any accuracy figure, any vehicle count and any Army voice.
Reality
- Evidence25
- Adoption35
- Hype gap+40
- Incentives80
- Confidence45
TERN's $11.26 million contract puts offline positioning and fleet-health monitoring on sensors the Army already owns, on a premise its president states plainly, that battlefield GPS can no longer be assumed.
Reality
- Evidence34
- Adoption33
- Hype gap+27
- Incentives78
- Confidence56
At Project Convergence-Capstone 6 the two firms swapped a payload rather than build a vehicle, which was the cheap part. The cost of keeping a forward robot running and getting it back is still unpublished.
Reality
- Evidence30
- Adoption14
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives76
- Confidence42
Q-CTRL's trial moves gravity-based navigation from lab result toward shipboard fitting, which means the hard questions now sit with map coverage and with how much error piles up on a long unaided run.
Reality
- Evidence26
- Adoption12
- Hype gap+44
- Incentives74
- Confidence57
Lockheed Martin and Saildrone put an existing launcher and fire-control box on a commercial hull and shot at a target off Hawaii. The hard part left is not the hardware.
Reality
- Evidence38
- Adoption20
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives78
- Confidence45
The company says the new plant lifts its regional manufacturing footprint by more than 300 percent. The announcement is heavy on capacity and light on units, dates, and dollars.
Reality
- Evidence30
- Adoption22
- Hype gap+38
- Incentives82
- Confidence34
A Norway-led program in Poland teaches what Ukraine asks for and drops what Ukraine already does better. Drone courses and electronic warfare are off the list.
Reality
- Evidence52
- Adoption55
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives62
- Confidence55