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Crypto market-structure legislation

U.S. congressional effort, centered on the CLARITY Act, to define SEC and CFTC jurisdiction over digital assets and set rules for crypto trading platforms.

Current stories

invest2 publishers

Missing October 15 costs extended crypto filers 5% of unpaid tax a month

US crypto holders on extension must file 2025 returns by October 15 or pay a failure-to-file penalty of 5% of unpaid tax a month. The percentage applies only to tax not paid in April, so the date costs most for filers who underpaid in spring and still cannot document their cost basis.

Reality

Evidence72
Adoption
Insufficient
Hype gap+10
Incentives
Insufficient
Confidence70
invest1 publisher

BitGo's chief says the stalled CLARITY Act leaves crypto custody risk bundled inside exchanges

BitGo CEO Mike Belshe says the Senate's 50-49 vote that stalled the CLARITY Act lets single firms keep running an exchange, a brokerage and custody together. He thinks a failure at such a venue could be worse than Lehman, and reviving the bill means finding votes it lacked in September.

Reality

Evidence40
Adoption
Insufficient
Hype gap+30
Incentives70
Confidence45
invest5 publishers

$TRUMP memecoin ties seats at its third Trump dinner to 43 days of holding a token down 97%

Fight Fight Fight LLC will seat the top 185 time-weighted holders of $TRUMP, a token about 97% below its peak, at a November 22 dinner with Donald Trump. Earlier rounds drew leaderboard buying that unwound once invitations went out, so the November 12 snapshot will test how much of the token's bid is for the seat.

Perspective Coverage

5 publishers
Builder
Builder 5%
Operator
Operator 41%
Investor
Investor 54%

Reality

Evidence60
Adoption30
Hype gap+30
Incentives85
Confidence65
invest18 publishers

Retiring senators Lummis and Tillis leave crypto's Clarity Act to the next Congress

Crypto's 635-page Clarity Act stalled in the Senate with no realistic path back before year-end, Cato's Ryan Chan-Wei wrote. He blames an ethics dispute over conflicts at the highest levels of government, and that dispute will meet whatever bill the next Congress writes.

Perspective Coverage

18 publishers
Builder
Builder 17%
Operator
Operator 39%
Investor
Investor 44%

Reality

Evidence70
Adoption20
Hype gap+15
Incentives65
Confidence65
invest2 publishers

Stand With Crypto answers the 49-50 Clarity Act defeat with three Senate endorsements

Coinbase-backed Stand With Crypto named its first three Senate endorsements two weeks after the Clarity Act failed 49-50. The group funds no campaigns itself, so its main Ohio pick depends on PAC money, starting with Fairshake's $30 million pledge for Jon Husted against Sherrod Brown.

Reality

Evidence72
Adoption
Insufficient
Hype gap+15
Incentives75
Confidence65
invest3 publishers

SEC, CFTC and Fed moved on crypto within 48 hours of the Clarity Act's Senate defeat

Three federal agencies moved on crypto rules within 48 hours of the Senate's 49-50 vote that stalled the Clarity Act. Only the stablecoin rules sit on a statute, so businesses using the SEC and CFTC relief hold permissions a later administration can withdraw.

Perspective Coverage

3 publishers
Builder
Builder 17%
Operator
Operator 36%
Investor
Investor 47%

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption
Insufficient
Hype gap+15
Incentives60
Confidence60
invest3 publishers

Galaxy cuts CLARITY odds to 10%, and crypto's regulatory plan B becomes the plan

Galaxy Digital's estimate for the US market-structure bill has fallen from 75% in May to 10%. Firms budgeting for a statute should budget for SEC and CFTC rulemaking instead.

Perspective Coverage

3 publishers
Builder
Builder 17%
Operator
Operator 42%
Investor
Investor 41%

Reality

Evidence60
Adoption
Insufficient
Hype gap+25
Incentives55
Confidence60
invest3 publishers

Public Citizen prices its CLARITY ethics demand at $4.7bn of investor losses

The watchdog's tally lands while Trump lobbies the Senate for a fair version of the market structure bill, and the two sides of its ledger settle differently: about $1.44bn of fees in cash, $4.7bn of losses still a mark.

Perspective Coverage

3 publishers
Builder
Builder 5%
Operator
Operator 27%
Investor
Investor 68%

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Insufficient
Hype gap+30
Incentives70
Confidence60
invest12 publishers

Senate's Clarity Act rewrite hands the Treasury secretary a switch on stablecoin rewards

A bill that began as a security-or-commodity question now includes a standby power over stablecoin rewards if community banks start losing deposits. The Treasury secretary decides when it fires.

Perspective Coverage

12 publishers
Builder
Builder 27%
Operator
Operator 35%
Investor
Investor 38%

Reality

Evidence68
Adoption
Insufficient
Hype gap+35
Incentives75
Confidence62
invest1 publisher

Trump's crypto adviser prices a failed Tuesday vote at years of waiting

Patrick Witt wants Democrats on the market structure bill by Sept. 15, and the fallback he describes if they refuse is rulemaking bounded by the authority the SEC and CFTC already have, an approach that depends on agency leadership the White House has not yet named.

Publishers:semafor.com

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption
Insufficient
Hype gap+28
Incentives78
Confidence57

Earlier coverage

  1. BlackRock's fiscal case for Bitcoin is arithmetically sound and 49% underwater

    Invest · August 26, 2026 · 1 publisher

  2. Banking's 2026 problem is less the Senate majority than the Banking Committee roster

    Invest · August 24, 2026 · 1 publisher

  3. A Sept. 15 cloture date, and a 24.5% price on the CFTC-SEC line ever being drawn

    Invest · August 22, 2026 · 1 publisher

  4. Crypto's next hard deadline is a Senate floor slot on September 15, and that slot has moved before

    Invest · August 22, 2026 · 1 publisher

  5. CLARITY stalls at 25% odds while banks and crypto fight over who pays stablecoin holders

    Invest · August 21, 2026 · 1 publisher

  6. A record $517M election bet, and the 60-vote wall the money cannot buy

    Invest · August 21, 2026 · 1 publisher

  7. A trade group's litigation threat, not crypto's critics, stalled the SEC's token fundraising rules

    Invest · August 17, 2026 · 1 publisher

  8. Stablecoin yield is the one clause that now decides the CLARITY Act

    Invest · August 16, 2026 · 1 publisher