Science1 publisherNot yet confirmed elsewhere2 min readPublished
Merck pays $400 million upfront for a SciBrunch KRAS G12D drug tested only in cells and mice
Merck agreed to pay SciBrunch $400 million upfront, in a deal worth up to $2.13 billion, for global rights to SPR2015, an oral KRAS G12D molecular glue. Its efficacy evidence so far comes from mouse tumor models, while rival G12D drugs already report response rates in patients.
The Scientist · Science desk

What happened
- KRAS G12D is the most common cancer-driving RAS mutation, with a 38% prevalence across pancreatic, colorectal and non-small cell lung cancer in a 2023 study.
- SciBrunch reports that SPR2015 blocks growth of G12D-mutant cell lines at nanomolar concentrations, with good selectivity over cells carrying normal KRAS.
- Merck will book a $400 million pre-tax charge, about $0.13 a share, in its third-quarter results, and the transaction has already closed.
- SciBrunch's AACR 2026 poster expected Phase I trials to begin by the end of this year, but the companies' deal announcement did not disclose a timeframe.
Compiled by The ScientistSomething wrong?How this is made
Why it matters
- cost Merck's shareholders absorb the upfront sum in a single quarter, while SciBrunch reaches most of the headline value only if SPR2015 clears milestones in people.
- constraint SPR2015 cannot be ranked against clinical-stage G12D drugs until it has patient data of its own, and it enters that comparison behind programs already reporting responses.
- exposure With worldwide rights, China included, now held by Merck, SciBrunch's return on SPR2015 depends on Merck's choices about which cancers to pursue and how fast.
- precedent A $400 million upfront for a compound not yet given to a person gives other preclinical KRAS programs a reference price in licensing talks, though a single deal does not make a pattern.
SPR2015's best-known efficacy figure counts mouse tumor models, not patients. In a head-to-head study, SciBrunch dosed the drug orally at 100 mg/kg once daily across more than 15 colorectal cell-derived or patient-derived xenograft models. It reported a 64.7% objective response rate and a 94.1% disease control rate as monotherapy [3]. Those percentages match 11 and 16 of 17 models, the smallest count above 15 that produces both [19]. The comparator was an unnamed G12D (ON) inhibitor [3], so outsiders cannot check the claim of significantly superior efficacy against a known drug.
The compound is a molecular glue built to inhibit the ON form of KRAS G12D, and SciBrunch is developing it for colorectal, lung and pancreatic cancers [5]. The mutation swaps glycine for aspartate at position 12. That change leaves KRAS active and continuously signaling for cell proliferation and survival, SciBrunch said [16]. The xenograft results were presented at the 2026 AACR Annual Meeting by a team that included founder and chief executive Tao Hu [2].
Other G12D drugs already have human data. Revolution Medicines reported in May that zoldonrasib produced a 52% confirmed objective response rate and 93% disease control in 27 efficacy-evaluable, previously treated patients with G12D lung cancer [10]. Beside SPR2015's mouse figures those numbers look close. They count different things: patients against mouse models, and lung tumors against colorectal ones [3][10]. In June, Verastem reported that 13 of 14 heavily pretreated metastatic pancreatic cancer patients taking 900 mg of VS-7375 once daily had a fall of more than 50% in the tumor marker CA19-9 [11]. A marker reading is a different endpoint from an objective response.
Sreyashi Paul, a business analyst with Lucidquest Ventures, cited both programs. "The diligence question is whether those properties survive translation into humans strongly enough to compensate for SPR2015's later start," Paul wrote on the firm's website [9].
Of the $2.13 billion headline, $400 million is upfront. The other $1.73 billion is tied to development, commercial and other milestones across several indications [12][17]. The upfront is about 19% of the total [18]. "Evidence continues to accumulate for the therapeutic potential of targeting the KRAS pathway, a well-characterized factor in tumor cell growth," said George Addona, senior vice president for discovery, preclinical development and translational medicine at Merck Research Laboratories [15].
Hu spoke for the seller. "This agreement with Merck not only validates the R&D strength of our platform but also underscores the potential of SPR2015 in addressing longstanding unmet medical needs in oncology," Hu said [14].
What to watch
- A Merck or SciBrunch date for first human dosing of SPR2015, and the design of the Phase I study.
- Fuller publication of the colorectal xenograft study, including the identity of the comparator G12D inhibitor.
- Updated patient data from zoldonrasib and VS-7375, the clinical G12D programs SPR2015 will be judged against.
Clarity's read
What the record supports and how the coverage leans. The claims behind it follow.
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption5
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives70
- Confidence45
Claim ledger
Ranked by verification strength, evidence, and original report placement.
- [1]
According to SciBrunch, SPR2015 has shown nanomolar antiproliferative activity in various KRAS G12D-mutant cell lines while maintaining good selectivity over KRAS wild-type cells.
- [2]
At the 2026 AACR Annual Meeting, SciBrunch researchers including founder, chairman and CEO Tao Hu presented preclinical data showing antitumor efficacy as monotherapy across multiple cell-derived and patient-derived xenograft models.
ReportedSupportedSource: SciBrunch AACR 2026 poster2 sources— create a free account to open themView cited source - [3]
In a head-to-head mouse study comparing SPR2015 at a single oral once-daily dose of 100 mg/kg with another unspecified G12D (ON) inhibitor in over 15 colorectal CDX or PDX models, SPR2015 showed significantly superior efficacy, with a 64.7% objective response rate and 94.1% disease control rate as monotherapy.
ReportedSupportedSource: SciBrunch AACR 2026 poster, as reported by GEN2 sources— create a free account to open themView cited source - [4]
Merck & Co. acquired exclusive global rights to develop, manufacture and commercialize SciBrunch Therapeutics' preclinical oral cancer candidate SPR2015 through a licensing and collaboration deal worth up to $2.13 billion to SciBrunch, a Chinese small molecule oncology developer.
- [5]
SPR2015 is a preclinical molecular glue, an oral KRAS G12D (ON) inhibitor that SciBrunch is developing for colorectal cancer, non-small cell lung cancer and pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.
- [6]
KRAS G12D is the most common oncogenic RAS mutation in human tumors, with a 38% prevalence in pancreatic cancer, colorectal cancer and NSCLC, according to a 2023 study.
- [7]
The AACR 2026 poster said SPR2015 was expected to enter human Phase I studies by the end of this year.
- [8]
In their announcement, Merck and SciBrunch did not disclose a current timeframe for taking SPR2015 into Phase I.
- [9]
"The diligence question is whether those properties survive translation into humans strongly enough to compensate for SPR2015's later start," Sreyashi Paul, business analyst with Lucidquest Ventures, commented on the firm's website.
- [10]
Paul cited Revolution Medicines' zoldonrasib (RMC-9805), which reported in May a 52% confirmed objective response rate and 93% disease control rate in 27 efficacy-evaluable previously treated KRAS G12D NSCLC patients, as well as early human data from Verastem's VS-7375.
- [11]
In June, Verastem reported Phase I/II data showing 93% (13/14) of heavily pretreated metastatic PDAC patients receiving 900 mg once-daily VS-7375 monotherapy achieved greater than 50% reduction in the tumor marker CA19-9.
- [12]
Merck agreed to pay SciBrunch up to $2.13 billion, consisting of $400 million upfront and the remainder in payments tied to development, commercialization and other milestones across multiple indications.
- [13]
Merck will record a pre-tax charge of $400 million, approximately $0.13 per share, in its GAAP and non-GAAP third-quarter results; the transaction has closed.
- [14]
"This agreement with Merck not only validates the R&D strength of our platform but also underscores the potential of SPR2015 in addressing longstanding unmet medical needs in oncology," Hu said.
- [15]
"Evidence continues to accumulate for the therapeutic potential of targeting the KRAS pathway, a well-characterized factor in tumor cell growth," stated George Addona, senior vice president, discovery, preclinical development and translational medicine, Merck Research Laboratories.
- [16]
The G12D mutation substitutes aspartate for glycine at position 12, a change that leaves KRAS active and continuously signaling for cell proliferation and survival, SciBrunch said.
- [17]
About $1.73 billion of the $2.13 billion deal value depends on milestones.
- [18]
The upfront payment is about 19% of the headline deal value.
- [19]
The 64.7% response rate and 94.1% disease control rate match 11 and 16 of 17 xenograft models, the smallest model count above 15 that yields both percentages.
Sources
1 independent publisher whose own reporting we read for this story.
- genengnews.comMerck, SciBrunch Launch Up-to-$2.13B Collaboration to Develop Preclinical KRAS-Inhibiting Molecular Glue
1 article · September 29, 2026
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