Woods Hole researchers are playing healthy-reef sounds to Caribbean coral larvae as hard coral cover for 2020-2024 sits 9.5% below its 1980-2009 level. Larvae they draw in will meet hotter water in 2027, and no settlement counts have been reported.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption12
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence55
Three decades of black-browed albatross demography went into an eco-evolutionary model, and its authors report in PNAS that substantially limiting greenhouse-gas emissions roughly halves the projected extinction probability.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives35
- Confidence57
Four years after its ocean carbon research strategy, the National Academies credits real progress in marine carbon removal while saying net removal still cannot be reliably measured and regulation is still needed at every level.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption22
- Hype gap+8
- Incentives60
- Confidence55
Houshuo Jiang filmed free-swimming eastern oyster larvae at 2,000 frames per second and found their shells make them dense enough that gravity, not the drag of swimming, drives the current that carries food to the mouth.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives55
- Confidence55
Woods Hole researchers pushed the record of Indian-Pacific coupling back to the early 1600s using corals, tree rings and stalagmites. Only one earlier interval, 1810 to 1850, shows the relationship breaking down.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives55
- Confidence52
In some specimens fewer than 1% of the genome could be read, coverage most pipelines throw away. The Yale team placed those fragments against a tree of good genomes instead, which is why the museum drawer is the real finding.
Reality
- Evidence61
- Adoption18
- Hype gap+16
- Incentives68
- Confidence47
A study in Physical Review E finds surface reflections advance the loudest part of a call. Arrival times read early, and range estimates built on them come in short.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives55
- Confidence52
Spiesberger and Terray report in Physical Review E that interference between a direct call and its surface echo moves the energy peak, biasing pipelines that assume 1,500 m/s.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption8
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives60
- Confidence45