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Iran's top body for defense and security policy, chaired by the president, which sets strategy on military, nuclear and foreign-policy matters.
Known aliases
- Iran's Supreme National Security Council
- SNSC
- Supreme National Security Council
Relationships
No evidence-backed relationships are recorded.
Current stories
Mohsen Rezaei said the seven-point list went through Qatar and that Tehran is waiting on Trump. Three of the items are public and four are not.
Reality
- Evidence20
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives70
- Confidence30
American strikes on five Revolutionary Guard tankers and Tehran's plan to stop unpermitted vessels have turned a current-quarter fuel line into a routing and compliance question, with Brent's seven-week high of $97 the part most plans already price.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption35
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives78
- Confidence50
Tehran told Gulf states on August 22 that helping enforce US sanctions counts as an act of war. With its own exports down roughly 77 to 80 percent, the self-deterrence argument is thinner.
Reality
- Evidence24
- Adoption33
- Hype gap+34
- Incentives62
- Confidence30
Pezeshkian says none of the clauses is a surrender and that only Washington is bound. The terms a shipowner cares about are therefore written in Tehran, and revisable there.
Reality
- Evidence18
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+46
- Incentives78
- Confidence24
Traffic at 6% of normal and Brent near $94 have held for six months with no resolution in sight. Iran's vetting queue, not price, decides who sails the Gulf's main export corridor.
Reality
- Evidence18
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+32
- Incentives58
- Confidence20