Prime Minister Andy Burnham has not yet ruled on the Rosebank and Jackdaw North Sea fields, a decision officials have been expected to make since August. Campaigners want refusal, while the opposition, industry and Trump cite jobs, bills and energy security.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap
- Insufficient
- Incentives60
- Confidence55
Peat burns in under a third of Indonesia's wildfires but yields most of the haze, according to Greenpeace research. Fire emissions reached 140.5 megatonnes by Oct. 6, the highest since 2019, Copernicus data show.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+5
- Incentives50
- Confidence60
Litigation and a vote 10 months away threaten Dangote's $16 billion Kenyan refinery, due in 2030, Semafor reported. The government has declined to publish key agreements, so outsiders cannot see who carries the cost of a delay.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives75
- Confidence50
Cleanup for the grounded Caroline Bezengi is put at $200m to $500m, the international fund built for exactly this caps out near $279m, and its spokesperson says an act-of-war exclusion applies, so Oman is spending its own money.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption35
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives70
- Confidence55
The Korea Rural Community Corporation's own alert system now flags 986 of the 1,914 reservoirs it manages, and 269 are at critical. Romania shows what happens next when the water runs short.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption58
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives55
- Confidence50