Ethereum will activate Glamsterdam, likely its largest fork since the Merge according to a core developer, on the Sepolia testnet on Oct. 6. It reprices gas and lays groundwork for higher layer-1 gas limits, with no date yet for the Hoodi testnet or mainnet.
Reality
- Evidence60
- Adoption10
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives40
- Confidence62
Vitalik Buterin's "cryptographic world computer" post sets a target of 8-to-32-second finality against the roughly 200 seconds 12 confirmations take today. The forks after Hegota would rebuild verification, consensus and block construction.
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence45
Vitalik Buterin says Ethereum's Hegotá upgrade, planned for 2027, is likely the last fork that someone who knew Ethereum in 2015 would recognize. The work he expects to follow has no dates yet, so ETH holders are pricing a long rebuild of the protocol off a single milestone.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives35
- Confidence55
Bitwise ran the first consolidation on Lido Core in September, part of a migration of roughly 8.4 million staked ETH that the Lido DAO approved in July and expects to finish by Q1 2027. All 34 curated operators now face ETH bonds.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption48
- Hype gap+34
- Incentives70
- Confidence50
A contributor's draft would make the validator deposit contract variable length and add a mode to end BLS signatures permanently. It is unfinished, unnumbered, and aimed at a 2029 target that may move.
Reality
- Evidence54
- Adoption10
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives55
- Confidence52
FOCIL is the sole confirmed EIP for the 2027 fork. The next few core dev calls decide which privacy primitives get devnets and which wait for the fork after that.
Perspective Coverage
3 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 48%
- Operator
- Operator 30%
- Investor
- Investor 22%
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption12
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives55
- Confidence62
Ethereum's Plataberget testnet went live on August 17 in a pre-fork state, with the Glamsterdam fork three days later. Tools that assume a fixed maximum gas limit stop working correctly.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption28
- Hype gap+14
- Incentives55
- Confidence42