Cornell researchers found nearly 60% of trees damaged in poor, racially diverse areas of 29 US cities, against 17% in the whitest, most affluent ones. Aerial canopy counts cannot see that gap, so they likely overstate the shade poorer residents actually get.
Reality
- Evidence60
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives25
- Confidence55
Researchers scoring Portland on more than 100 environmental and health indicators found its worst-off neighborhoods often lie outside 1930s redlined zones. Tree planting or health spending steered only by the old HOLC lines would pass over those places.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence50
Four decades after Tucson stopped serving the contaminated water, a University of Arizona team went door to door on the south side and found a third of the exposed group positive on a post-traumatic stress screen.
Reality
- Evidence54
- Adoption45
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives58
- Confidence52
An interdisciplinary team co-led from the Cary Institute and Universidad Andres Bello reads colonization, the 1960 earthquake and today's wetland fights as one sequence deciding who in a city of 166,000 lives near flood-absorbing ground.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives52
- Confidence58
California lawmakers passed AB 1661 and Gov. Gavin Newsom is expected to sign it by October. The money it hands out was collected from operators for keeping low-producing wells running at the Inglewood Oil Field.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption22
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives70
- Confidence55
Philadelphia has named two candidate data center sites, one of them in the Grays Ferry neighborhood that lived next to the East Coast's largest oil refinery, and residents there are already at City Hall asking for a moratorium.
Reality
- Evidence52
- Adoption46
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives62
- Confidence50
The turbines feeding SpaceXAI's Colossus 2 went in under a Mississippi rule that asks whether equipment is portable rather than what it emits, which is why the fight is over a legal category and not over anyone's measurements.
Reality
- Evidence56
- Adoption76
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives82
- Confidence53
KIT compared day and night temperatures from three summers against the 2022 census in every German district, and found the non-citizen share tracked warmer night air in 84.2% of cities without explaining why.
Reality
- Evidence56
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives62
- Confidence52
A 168-country study in People and Nature argues that the regions colonial powers targeted hardest were the most species-rich, and that the resulting extraction economies still structure poverty.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+28
- Incentives58
- Confidence38
A UC Berkeley team is building a virtual Lower Pajaro River watershed to show residents and officials what a levee choice actually does. The pitch is legibility, not precision.
Reality
- Evidence34
- Adoption24
- Hype gap+16
- Incentives68
- Confidence45