Korea and ASEAN open a second round in Singapore to rewrite their 2007 goods-only FTA across 13 working groups. Companies sourcing through Southeast Asia should expect revised origin checks and minerals rules to arrive before any tariff cut.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives40
- Confidence55
A leaked draft would convert a symbolic June statement into an exclusivity test covering models, chips and minerals. That is a dependency no procurement team can route around.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption30
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence48
Yttrium's export rules survived the Busan truce, and the two shipments the United States has received since February's coating-line stoppages add up to 89 tonnes against a world market estimated at 10,000 to 15,000 tonnes a year.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption55
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives55
- Confidence48
US Strategic Metals and Ionic Rare Earths signed a non-binding term sheet to recycle NdFeB and SmCo magnets in Missouri, a $100m plan that names a site, a process and a purity spec while leaving out annual throughput.
Reality
- Evidence38
- Adoption16
- Hype gap+44
- Incentives72
- Confidence60
A 10.6% government stake in Project Crucible works out near $784m if it is pro rata against the build, and the report does not say whether that equity sits in the listed parent or the joint venture, which decides who votes.
Reality
- Evidence30
- Adoption26
- Hype gap+40
- Incentives76
- Confidence33
Seoul's central bank folded Pyongyang research into a unit also covering supply chains, critical minerals and strategic materials. Insiders worry the older expertise erodes.
Reality
- Evidence38
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+14
- Incentives66
- Confidence44
A gold recovery demonstration on e-waste leachate cut chemical consumption by one to two orders of magnitude. The economics case still rests on numbers the write-up does not give.
Reality
- Evidence28
- Adoption8
- Hype gap+44
- Incentives62
- Confidence34