Melbourne and ANU researchers mapped inundation onto property registers under a mid-range warming scenario, then held storm intensity constant and left erosion out, which is why $855 billion is a floor.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption22
- Hype gap−12
- Incentives58
- Confidence55
Preliminary work scores cities on canopy within 60 metres of homes rather than trees counted city-wide, and by that measure London, Paris and Madrid trail Hamburg, which still leaves 56% of residents unprotected.
Reality
- Evidence32
- Adoption24
- Hype gap+32
- Incentives52
- Confidence38
The lives averted are measurable and concentrated in the Sun Belt, but they sit in a different ledger from the 4.5 billion tons of cooling emissions the UN expects to reach 7.2 billion within 25 years.
Reality
- Evidence48
- Adoption57
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives58
- Confidence46
Floods in the Congo Basin's Lac Télé reserve arrive earlier and stay longer, but a year of interviews in six of 27 villages found timing and coping so village-specific that one basin-wide adaptation plan would misfire.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives60
- Confidence42
Eight countries have already logged 33,000 heat-linked deaths this summer. The EU's promised heat and cooling plan, due in April, still has not appeared.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption31
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives72
- Confidence52
A fire above Blaenavon burned for three weeks across more than 4,000 hectares and drew in 200 troops. The case for rewetting peat is now being made on fuel load, not conservation.
Reality
- Evidence48
- Adoption28
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives58
- Confidence42
Mat Santamouris says coatings, shading, ventilation and better ceiling fans could cut average urban temperatures by several degrees. That number is an estimate, not a measured result.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption14
- Hype gap+32
- Incentives58
- Confidence44
Researchers who interviewed relocated households in Bangladesh and India report that new houses without land, work or services move the risk rather than reduce it.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption42
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives50
- Confidence45
The utility loses about 60 percent of its drinking water to leaks, and the territory mandates no rainwater catchment. The cheapest available capacity is sitting on roofs.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption14
- Hype gap+26
- Incentives66
- Confidence55
A survey of 1,288 workers in seven climate-exposed sectors found 56% hit by extreme weather at work last year. Only 26% said their employer has a plan for it.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption27
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives62
- Confidence38