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Mat Santamouris says coatings, shading, ventilation and better ceiling fans could cut average urban temperatures by several degrees. That number is an estimate, not a measured result.
The Scientist · Science desk

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An air conditioner does not destroy heat. It moves it, and where it moves it is outdoors, which means every unit on a block makes the street and the neighbouring buildings slightly hotter [1]. That is the awkward physics behind a review published in Nature Reviews Clean Technology by Mat Santamouris, a physicist at the University of New South Wales in Sydney, and colleagues, who surveyed cooling technologies that work without drawing power [2].
Santamouris told Discover that if buildings adopted special coatings, improved ventilation, ceiling fans and similar measures, cities could cut their average temperature by several degrees and so reduce the overall demand for air conditioning [3]. Treat that number as what it is: an expert estimate offered in an interview, without a stated baseline city, measurement period or deployment share. It is a reason to look at the underlying measures, not a delivered result.
The cost case is easier to check. Figures published several years ago by the U.S. Energy Information Administration put air conditioning at about 12 percent of total household energy consumption [4]. Some research estimates air conditioning accounts for roughly 3 percent of global greenhouse gas emissions, with demand set to rise as poorer countries develop, according to Our World in Data [5]. Emissions raise temperatures, higher temperatures raise cooling demand, and Santamouris argues zero-carbon targets become extremely difficult if that loop is left to run [6][7]. In single-family homes, the units alone run to several thousand dollars before the monthly bills [8].
The technologies in the review are unglamorous, which is the point. Radiative paints reflect most incoming sunlight instead of absorbing it, and on a roof they push heat up through the atmosphere and out to space [9]. Evaporative coatings are newer: a hydrogel-based polymer paint that takes up moisture during the cooler night and releases it as the day heats up [10]. External shading and better internal ventilation block sunlight and redistribute heat, and Santamouris says advanced ceiling fans extend comfort to higher temperatures [11]. Green roofs and reflective pavement move the same lever at street level [12].
Santamouris is blunt that the familiar municipal answer is insufficient. Trees and parks absorb some of the excess heat, but he said cities now need much more radical solutions, and that heat waves carry a tremendous impact on both economies and health [13][14]. Livia Fritz, a geographer at the University of Geneva who was not involved in the review, said the study is timely and agrees passive cooling should take centre stage, with mechanical cooling reserved as a backup or short-term response rather than the default [15].
For anyone managing a portfolio of buildings, the operative detail is that many of these measures retrofit onto existing stock, with older heritage buildings the harder case [16]. That makes this a procurement and code question rather than a research one.
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Air-conditioning units expel heat into the surrounding outdoor air, so air conditioners in every building make the streets and the buildings around them a little hotter.
In research recently published in Nature Reviews Clean Technology, Mat Santamouris, a physicist at the University of New South Wales in Sydney, Australia, and his colleagues examined various passive cooling technologies that keep temperatures down without relying on air-conditioning units.
Increased greenhouse gas emissions raise average global temperatures, so in a vicious cycle air conditioning contributes to global warming, which in turn means more air conditioning will be needed.
Radiative coatings are paints that reflect most sunlight rather than absorbing it; used on rooftops they can redirect heat upward through the atmosphere and into space.
Evaporative coating is relatively new and uses a hydrogel-based cooling system: a polymer paint that absorbs moisture at night when temperatures are cooler, then releases it when temperatures heat up.
Shading systems on the outside of buildings and improved ventilation inside can help block sunlight and redistribute heat more efficiently, and Santamouris said advanced ceiling fans can increase comfort at higher temperatures and cool rooms.
Evidence-backed comparisons of source perspectives and observed adoption signals. Read the methodology
Which Builder, Operator, and Investor concerns the observed source mix emphasized—not a truth score.
Evidence, demonstrated adoption, hype gap, incentives, and confidence are assessed independently, each on its own current evidence. How these are measured.
Peer-reviewed review behind it, but the load-bearing numbers are unsourced expert statements
The story rests on a real, recently published review in Nature Reviews Clean Technology and is strengthened by an independent academic, Livia Fritz, who was not involved in it. The mechanisms described (waste-heat rejection, coating and shading physics, retrofit feasibility) are internally coherent and consistently reported. But every quantitative element is weak: the 'several degrees' cooling figure and the 'up to 80 percent' air-conditioning reduction come with no baseline, method or uncertainty; the 12 percent per-home energy share is attributed to undated EIA figures; and the 3 percent global emissions share is attributed only to 'some research' and Our World in Data. One publisher, no primary document link, no dissenting technical source.
One anecdote, no deployment data
The only real-world uptake signal in the supplied material is Santamouris's mention of Singapore buildings that operate without air conditioning, given without names, counts or measured performance. Retrofit feasibility is asserted as a general possibility rather than demonstrated by projects, programmes or procurement. No vendors, product volumes, city ordinances or pilot results appear anywhere in the source, so adoption is barely observable.
Quantified promises outrun the reported measurement
The claims are directionally reasonable and the underlying physics is uncontroversial, but the specific numbers that carry the story are overstated relative to what is shown. 'Several degrees' of city-wide cooling and 'up to 80 percent' less air-conditioning need are presented as outcomes when they are projections from the review's lead author, with no baseline, climate zone or uncertainty range; the dek itself concedes the temperature figure is an estimate rather than a measured result. Adoption evidence is a single anecdote, and cost, durability, water use and heat-wave safety limits go unaddressed while the alternative to air conditioning is priced only rhetorically. The gap is moderate, not extreme, because the story does not claim commercial deployment and does include an independent voice who reframes the problem as systemic rather than solved by coatings.
Lead author is the main source for his own review's payoff
Almost every forward-looking assertion, including the temperature and 80 percent figures, comes from Santamouris, who is the lead author of the review being covered and therefore has a professional interest in the salience of passive cooling. No HVAC industry, coatings vendor or sceptical building-science voice appears to test the numbers. Countervailing factors: the review is published in a peer-reviewed journal, the outlet is a general-science publisher with no disclosed commercial stake in the technologies, no products or companies are promoted, and the one outside expert quoted is explicitly identified as uninvolved and shifts emphasis toward governance rather than amplifying the technology pitch.
Confident about the mechanism, not about the magnitudes
Confidence is limited by a single-publisher cluster with no corroborating coverage, no direct link to the primary review, and quantitative claims that cannot be checked from the supplied material. What can be held with reasonable confidence is the qualitative core: air conditioners reject heat outdoors, a peer-reviewed review surveyed passive alternatives, and an independent expert agrees passive measures should come first. The specific cooling magnitudes, cost figures, emissions shares and any real-world adoption level should be treated as unverified.
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