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LG Innotek will manufacture Aeva's lidar for a European automaker from 2028

LG Innotek plans to mass-produce Aeva lidar for robots next year and for a European automaker in 2028, after investing up to $50 million in the US firm. The stake's roughly 60% gain has not been realized, so any cash return depends on an exclusive Aeva supply deal that runs through 2030.

The Investor · Invest desk

Illustration accompanying LG Innotek will manufacture Aeva's lidar for a European automaker from 2028

What happened

  • LG Innotek invested up to $50 million in US lidar maker Aeva in August last year and has been developing lidar sensors with it since then.
  • Aeva plans customer validation and trial shipments of Omni, a short-range 4D lidar for robots, in the second half of this year, with full production next year.
  • Late last year Aeva signed to be the exclusive supplier of its long-range Atlas Ultra lidar for a major European automaker's Level 3 platform through 2030.
  • LG Innotek will manufacture Atlas Ultra, with mass production targeted for 2028, and Aeva will deliver the units to the automaker.

Compiled by The InvestorSomething wrong?How this is made

Why it matters

  • exposure LG Innotek's income from the European program comes through Aeva, so it depends on Aeva keeping an exclusivity that LG Innotek does not hold itself.
  • constraint A late start in 2028 means less LG Innotek output on the program, because the contract's supply period ends in 2030 whenever production begins.
  • capability Omni gives LG Innotek a lidar product for warehouse robots and guided vehicles, a market outside the car business its lidar unit was built around.
  • decision While LG Innotek keeps the shares, the 27.8 billion won gain moves with Aeva's price and the won, and it adds nothing to cash until there is a sale.

On the car program, LG Innotek's job is manufacturing. It does not design the lidar chip, and the customer contract belongs to Aeva [8][9]. Aeva contributes its own chip and signal processing, and LG Innotek contributes optical component manufacturing [9]. Omni is the first product the two have unveiled since the collaboration began [6].

The stake went from 45.2 billion won to about 73 billion won [10]. That is a gain of 27.8 billion won, or 61.5% [2][1], close to the roughly 60% that industry officials cited, according to Sedaily [1]. The valuation uses both the current share price and the current exchange rate [10], so it moves with each of them. LG Innotek has sold no shares, and the gain is a valuation profit only [11].

In LG Innotek's plan, robots come a year before cars [3]. Omni is 85 millimeters across, covers 360 degrees horizontally and 90 degrees vertically, and reaches 80 meters [5]. It is meant for logistics robots that work alongside people in warehouses and for automated guided vehicles [5]. The Korean company already had a lidar business, centered on automobiles [6]. Aeva adds a robot product and a car program whose supply period runs through 2030 [7].

The schedule is where the case could break. If Atlas Ultra reaches mass production in 2028 [8] and supply stops when the contract period ends in 2030 [7], LG Innotek gets at most three calendar years of output on the program [3]. A one-year slip would cut that by a third [3]. Omni could also stall in validation this half and push robot volume past next year [4]. A fall in Aeva's shares would shrink the 27.8 billion won [2]. That would hit LG Innotek's balance sheet but leave its production line as it is.

I think the production role is worth more to LG Innotek than the stake, though only the stake has a market price. Valuing the line would take Atlas Ultra units per year and a build price per unit, and the report includes neither. The counter-case starts from the fact that the exclusivity belongs to Aeva [7]. On that view LG Innotek is a manufacturer Aeva could in principle replace, and the equity is the more durable claim. "Our strategic relationship with Aeva has been in place for more than a year, and the collaboration is proceeding as planned," an LG Innotek official said [12]. The view fails if the 2028 Atlas Ultra target moves or Omni's trial shipments slip out of the second half [8][4].

What to watch

  • Whether Aeva or LG Innotek discloses Atlas Ultra annual volumes, a per-unit build price, or the European automaker's name.
  • Any extension of the Atlas Ultra supply period past 2030, the end date that now limits how long LG Innotek builds for the program.
  • Any sale of Aeva shares by LG Innotek, the only way the 27.8 billion won gain turns into cash.
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