UBC researchers testing two heat-planning tools in Kelowna found that 20% of the city's analyzed area holds 50.8% of its potential new tree shade. Paired with heat maps sharpened to 10-meter pixels, the rankings reach single blocks, though they rest on surface heat.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence50
HUMID-Atlanta covers 2010 through 2023 and is publicly available. Whether its building-scale wind and humidity explain heat harm better than thermometer readings is being tested in an NCAR and Emory study of kidney injury.
Reality
- Evidence52
- Adoption28
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives66
- Confidence56
Preliminary work scores cities on canopy within 60 metres of homes rather than trees counted city-wide, and by that measure London, Paris and Madrid trail Hamburg, which still leaves 56% of residents unprotected.
Reality
- Evidence32
- Adoption24
- Hype gap+32
- Incentives52
- Confidence38
KIT compared day and night temperatures from three summers against the 2022 census in every German district, and found the non-citizen share tracked warmer night air in 84.2% of cities without explaining why.
Reality
- Evidence56
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives62
- Confidence52
The lives averted are measurable and concentrated in the Sun Belt, but they sit in a different ledger from the 4.5 billion tons of cooling emissions the UN expects to reach 7.2 billion within 25 years.
Reality
- Evidence48
- Adoption57
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives58
- Confidence46
Mat Santamouris says coatings, shading, ventilation and better ceiling fans could cut average urban temperatures by several degrees. That number is an estimate, not a measured result.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption14
- Hype gap+32
- Incentives58
- Confidence44