Southampton's Black Hole Hunters project wants volunteers to vet AI-screened telescope data for black holes beyond the roughly 70 whose locations are known. A volunteer's flag picks a target for telescope follow-up, and the team counts a discovery only once it detects gravitational self-lensing.
Reality
- Evidence35
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives55
- Confidence40
Southampton and OGS have mapped 5,000 years of drowned coastline in the northern Adriatic from sediment cores and new geophysical data. The fastest published rate is a peak inside a much slower millennial average.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives45
- Confidence55
A new model has the world's largest carbon sink turning into a source once concentrations start falling, with two heat-driven feedbacks amplifying the outgassing for centuries after net zero and capping what removal delivers.
Reality
- Evidence57
- Adoption12
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence50
A Southampton-led team, including two of the astronomers who won the Nobel for cosmic acceleration, reports in MNRAS that last November's deceleration result rested on a bad age estimate. Dark energy stays.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives70
- Confidence52
Yonsei's new paper says the June rebuttal defending cosmic acceleration flattened the age-luminosity slope by pooling too wide a redshift range, and that its own arithmetic cancels itself out.
Reality
- Evidence48
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+28
- Incentives62
- Confidence38
A Southampton-led team models 100 million years of East Antarctic uplift and puts the ice sheet's origin in the deep Earth, not the atmosphere.
Reality
- Evidence48
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives70
- Confidence45
A Southampton-led study in Geology places an 800-million-year-old escarpment across ten future US states and has it removing up to 8 km of rock long before the Colorado River existed.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives62
- Confidence52
Sea Legend Line's new Northern Sea Route service halves Suez transit times, but the corridor carried 23 container ships last year and runs on Russian permits.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption21
- Hype gap+42
- Incentives63
- Confidence45
A decade of borehole data from Ontario's Kidd Creek mine puts about 140 tonnes of hydrogen a year escaping unused. That is roughly where the evidence stands.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption20
- Hype gap+24
- Incentives66
- Confidence55