Korea's National Police Agency booked the AI-driven attack on Shinhan Bank as a criminal case and assigned 28 cyberterrorism investigators to it. Whether the case moves to the new Serious Crimes Investigation Agency turns on how the Financial Services Commission classifies the bank's system.
Reality
- Evidence60
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence55
Korea's Serious Crimes Investigation Agency opened on Oct 2 but cannot yet take over the cases prosecutors marked for transfer, because of system problems. Prosecutors may keep certain cases for up to 90 days under a legal carve-out, a window that runs to about Dec 31.
Reality
- Evidence35
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap−5
- Incentives40
- Confidence40
Korea's Serious Crimes Investigation Agency took over the prosecution's direct investigative powers with 1,962 of 2,874 posts filled and about 100 prosecutors. Its recruitment drives target police officers, many of whom weighed the move and have since backed off.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap0
- Incentives60
- Confidence50
South Korea replaced its Prosecutors' Office with two agencies on October 2, leaving prosecutors able to charge but no longer investigate. Anyone facing a serious-crimes probe now deals with investigators at one agency and a charging decision at another.
Reality
- Evidence70
- Adoption40
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives60
- Confidence65
South Korea's Prosecution Service is dissolved in under a month, and the agency taking over serious financial crime is at least three weeks from opening, so a complaint filed on the 8th has nobody able to trace accounts.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives65
- Confidence50
A ten-lawmaker bill would let anyone report unregistered crypto firms to Korea's FIU, a 2,567-investigator agency opens in October, and Polymarket has been called illegal gambling.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption30
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives45
- Confidence48