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Project

Operation Economic Outcast

Treasury-named whole-of-government campaign to disrupt economic networks and revenue channels supporting the Iranian regime and the IRGC.

Known aliases

  • Economic D-Day
  • Economic Outcast

Current stories

investConfirmed3 publishers

Bessent says the US could seize $1 billion of Iran-linked crypto within a week

Scott Bessent said the US could seize up to $1 billion in Iran-linked crypto this week, nearly twice the $550 million Tether says it helped freeze this year. How much work falls on issuers and exchanges depends on whether that figure is new money or USDT already frozen at blocked addresses.

Perspective Coverage

3 publishers
Builder
Builder 17%
Operator
Operator 50%
Investor
Investor 33%

Reality

Evidence45
Adoption
Insufficient
Hype gap+35
Incentives55
Confidence50
investOne report1 publisher

Iran weighs a US reply on Hormuz as the rial loses 12% of its value in 27 days

Iran says it has an official US reply to its proposal to end the war, and the rial has passed 2.5 million to the dollar, a record low. Tehran's price for reopening the Strait of Hormuz is cash, and a currency falling this fast makes each week of talks more expensive for Tehran.

Publishers:fortune.com

Reality

Evidence62
Adoption
Insufficient
Hype gap+10
Incentives
Insufficient
Confidence58
investConfirmed2 publishers

Senate staff say $34.6 million left Hezbollah-linked wallets while Tether took nine months to freeze them

Senate staff say Tether froze 5 of 39 Hezbollah-linked wallets Israel named in 2023 while $34.6 million left the rest. Treasury and the Justice Department can act on that freeze record more readily than on the report's 84% USDT share when they answer Blumenthal by Oct. 9.

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Insufficient
Hype gap+20
Incentives60
Confidence55
securityConfirmed6 publishers

Five new Iran determinations widen the sanctions perimeter to eight lines of business

Operation Economic Outcast names nearly 60 targets, but the durable change is the standing authority to designate foreign firms in crypto, technology, gold, aviation and shipping.

Perspective Coverage

6 publishers
Builder
Builder 15%
Operator
Operator 52%
Investor
Investor 33%

Reality

Evidence70
Adoption
Insufficient
Hype gap+40
Incentives60
Confidence65
investConfirmed3 publishers

Bessent expands secondary sanctions to isolate Iran from dollar system

Bessent scoped his threat to countries and to five sectors rather than to a list of firms, which makes locating the Iran perimeter the day job of banks, shippers and payment companies with no Iranian customers at all.

Perspective Coverage

3 publishers
Builder
Builder 12%
Operator
Operator 41%
Investor
Investor 47%

Reality

Evidence62
Adoption25
Hype gap+45
Incentives55
Confidence60
investConfirmed5 publishers

Prosecutors chase 4% of an alleged $1.5 billion Iran oil network through two Binance customers

The Southern District of New York filed on September 14 to take roughly $61 million in crypto from two China-based firms that used Binance trading accounts, under a standard of proof that stops at more likely than not.

Perspective Coverage

5 publishers
Builder
Builder 15%
Operator
Operator 46%
Investor
Investor 39%

Reality

Evidence68
Adoption
Insufficient
Hype gap+20
Incentives55
Confidence65