Koreans buying yen are paying the least in about 18 years, as 100 yen fell into the mid-800s of won this week from about 950 in early summer. Most of the drop is the won's chip-export rally against the dollar, Korea Times figures show, so the saving depends on that boom lasting.
Reality
- Evidence68
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence64
Britain's 30-year gilt yield touched 6.02% on Oct. 1, the first G7 long yield above 6% since Italy's in 2012, with the US 10-year at a 24-year high of 5.34%. Governments pay these rates on debt they roll over or newly issue, so the bill depends on how long yields stay up.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives45
- Confidence55
buildOne report1 publisher US 10-year Treasury yields hit 5.34% on 1 October, the highest since 2002, in a selloff Reuters partly ties to AI and data-centre construction. For teams that borrow to build, AI's own investment is part of why markets expect rates to stay high into 2027.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence52
Stablecoin issuers have added about $200 billion of Treasuries in five years, roughly 0.05% of the IIF's $365 trillion global debt tally. The bid matters in a US bill market that foreign buyers are leaving, and even the projected $400 billion for 2030 would be about 0.1% of world debt.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption50
- Hype gap+45
- Incentives45
- Confidence45
A currency that fell for years partly because the yen fell is now rising while the yen weakens, and the IIF's explanation rests on export dollars coming home to build fabs, a flow that has not fully arrived.
Reality
- Evidence34
- Adoption30
- Hype gap+36
- Incentives61
- Confidence41