US bitcoin and ether ETFs shed about $965 million in two sessions as ether funds logged an eighth straight day of redemptions. Most of Thursday's selling sat in Fidelity's FBTC and BlackRock's ETHA, consistent with a few large holders trimming positions.
Reality
- Evidence72
- Adoption74
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence70
Arkham Intelligence says 3,568 bitcoin tied to a viral claim of a $197 million Fidelity sale moved inside Fidelity Custody on Sept. 29 and were not sold. Fidelity holds coins in those wallets for institutional clients, so a large on-chain transfer cannot by itself show who is selling.
Reality
- Evidence35
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence40
US spot Bitcoin ETFs shed a net $484.9 million on Oct. 7, their largest one-day outflow since June, Farside Investors data show. At about $82,700, Bitcoin now trades inside the band where Glassnode maps its nearest liquidation cluster, so the next move depends on how leverage is stacked there.
Perspective Coverage
6 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 5%
- Operator
- Operator 12%
- Investor
- Investor 83%
Reality
- Evidence76
- Adoption60
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence70
US spot bitcoin ETFs lost a net $89.9 million on Monday as $159.8 million left ARKB and Fidelity's FBTC while BlackRock's IBIT took in $69.85 million. One session that followed about $293 million of inflows is thin evidence that buyers are settling on a single fund.
Reality
- Evidence64
- Adoption58
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence66
Fidelity and BlackRock supplied about 97% of the $433 million that US spot bitcoin ETFs took in on September 18, and the week they rescued still finished at plus $6.2 million, worth about 77 bitcoin.
Reality
- Evidence74
- Adoption76
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives48
- Confidence70
Cloture on H.R. 3633 failed 49-50 on Sept. 15 with every yes vote Republican. Add the four Republican noes back to the yes column and the count reaches 53, still seven short of the 60 the Senate requires.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption68
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives60
- Confidence58
Spot bitcoin ETFs pulled $606 million on August 20, and IBIT kept $503 million of it. The month's record total is mostly one issuer, and the first fund liquidation shows why.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption70
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives55
- Confidence45