The construction runs inside today's Script limits, so no soft fork was needed. The cost of quantum defence moves instead onto the individual holder, at $75 to $150 per transaction.
Perspective Coverage
4 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 44%
- Operator
- Operator 34%
- Investor
- Investor 22%
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption5
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives50
- Confidence60
Eigen Labs' ECDSA.Fail contest drove a point-addition resource score from 10.75 billion down to 1.496 billion. Neither IonQ nor Google has built the machine, and the end-to-end attack estimates that matter are still theirs.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption18
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives70
- Confidence52
The G7's report carries no binding force and never says the word crypto, arriving four months before the EU wants member states moving, and it pushes quantum readiness into government procurement, which is how the cost eventually reaches private custodians.
Reality
- Evidence52
- Adoption28
- Hype gap+14
- Incentives45
- Confidence58
IBM has closed the HRL Laboratories deal behind a 2029 fault-tolerant target. For anyone holding ciphertext that must outlive the decade, the vendor's date is now the planning date.
Reality
- Evidence34
- Adoption41
- Hype gap+46
- Incentives74
- Confidence38
Google has floated 2029 for moving digital assets off elliptic curve cryptography. Roughly 93% of the market sits on it, and no single party can order the migration.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption30
- Hype gap+32
- Incentives74
- Confidence52