SoftBank sold a record $11 billion of junk bonds at yields up to 9.75%, Reuters reported. Its 2034 bond pays 4.55 points over Alphabet's 2033 issue, a premium Reuters ties to SoftBank's own risk and concentration.
Reality
- Evidence68
- Adoption60
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives70
- Confidence72
SoftBank's Masayoshi Son is seeking up to $100 billion from Gulf investors for a new AI acquisition fund, the Financial Times reported. Outside money would pay for the next deals, while SoftBank's own balance sheet still carries the debt it took on to buy into OpenAI.
Perspective Coverage
7 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 10%
- Operator
- Operator 11%
- Investor
- Investor 79%
Reality
- Evidence38
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence55
Asian shares opened cautiously on Monday, with Brent down 1.1% at $103.50 a barrel, ahead of major US bank earnings on Tuesday. US inflation data due this week may weigh on tech valuations as much as the results do.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence60
Masayoshi Son, whose SoftBank is projected to commit $65 billion to OpenAI, is now voicing concern about AI safety risks, according to Bloomberg. Holders now have to judge whether the warning changes the money, since the stock has so far traded on what the labs say.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives65
- Confidence50
Ten billion dollars of notes plus a billion in euros price around September 24 to fund a commitment approaching $65bn. The 13% stake SoftBank is targeting implies a valuation well below the $730bn cited.
Perspective Coverage
7 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 5%
- Operator
- Operator 7%
- Investor
- Investor 88%
Reality
- Evidence68
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives60
- Confidence70
The $10bn SoftBank owes OpenAI on 1 October is the exact size of the dollar leg of the bond it prices on 24 September. Yields on its 2031 paper have moved from 6.7% in January to about 8.2% in September.
Reality
- Evidence72
- Adoption65
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives70
- Confidence68