Science1 distinct publisher3 min readPublished
A German team calibrated infrared spectra against lab-made glass beads, tested the method on the Moon where returned samples exist, and came back with a crustal silica fraction about a quarter below the accepted one.
The Scientist · Science desk

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Silicon dioxide behaves like a clock in a cooling planet, which is why the size of this number matters more than its novelty. As a mantle cools, the minerals that crystallise first take comparatively little silica with them, so the leftover melt grows richer in it, and lava erupted later carries more [4]. Read backwards, a silica-poor surface points to melt drawn from hotter material deeper down, which is the reading the authors take [3].
The arithmetic behind "up to 25% less" is worth doing out loud, because the source states it as a relative shortfall rather than in percentage points. If 37 percent is a quarter below what was accepted, the figure it displaces sat near 49 percent by mass, and the gap is roughly 12 percentage points of crust [13]. That is a large correction to a first-order property. For scale, terrestrial volcanic rocks run up to about 75 percent silica [12], so Mercury's crust now reads at about half the silica of Earth's most evolved lavas [14].
The thing this does not tell you is which of two histories produced the number. The team notes that Mercury may instead have started with more silica in its crust and gradually lost its oxygen [5]. Deep hot melting and oxygen loss both end with a silica-poor infrared spectrum, and a single mass fraction cannot separate them. So the study constrains the family of acceptable models without picking one member of it.
The control deserves attention, because it is the part that would be easiest to skip. Mercury has never been landed on and has yielded no samples, leaving remote infrared as the only route to composition [6]. Calibrating that route against half-millimetre laboratory glasses of known silica content is unremarkable in itself [7]; running the resulting relationship on the Moon first, where NASA's Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter has been mapping infrared emission since 2009 and where returned rocks provide independent checks, is the step that makes the Mercury number arguable rather than merely asserted [8][9]. Lead author Christian Renggli calls the Moon a touchstone and a stepping stone [15]. It is a good one. It is also not Mercury, and no returned sample exists to catch a bias that the lunar test happens not to expose.
One boundary on the claim: the timing is not what moved. Mercury's volcanism is thought to have stopped as early as about a billion years after the planet formed, leaving a continuous solid crust [11], and that framing predates this measurement. What the 37 percent figure revises is the depth and temperature of the melting that fed those eruptions [3], not the date they ended. The Mercury spectra themselves come from ground-based observation, including the Bok Telescope [10].
Ranked by verification strength, evidence, and original report placement.
Researchers from the Max Planck Institute for Solar System Research and the Universities of Muenster and Goettingen determined the proportion of silicon dioxide on Mercury's surface with greater accuracy than ever before; the findings are published in the journal Planetary Research.
The team tested its calibration relationship between silicon dioxide content and infrared radiation on the Moon, using NASA's Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter, which has orbited the Moon since 2009 and measured surface infrared radiation at high spatial resolution.
From the lunar data the researchers created the first complete map of the silicon dioxide content of the Moon's surface, verified against rock samples returned to Earth by crewed and unmanned missions.
On Earth, volcanic rocks such as basalt, andesite and granite contain up to 75% silicon dioxide, and Earth's crust remains in motion through volcanism and plate tectonics.
Renggli described the Moon as a kind of touchstone and an important conceptual stepping stone on the way to Mercury.
The study finds a silicon dioxide mass fraction on Mercury of about 37%, up to 25% less abundant than previously thought.
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1 article · August 28, 2026
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Evidence-backed comparisons of source perspectives and observed adoption signals. Read the methodology
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One institutional release, one DOI, no outside voice
Everything load here — 37%, the deeper-melt reading, the lunar map — reaches readers through one Max Planck announcement carried by phys.org. What lifts it above an ordinary press claim is the method's shape: standards of known composition first, then a run over Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter data where Apollo-era returned rock could have contradicted the calibration, and a paper with a citable DOI. What is absent is equally plain: no uncertainty on 37%, no named predecessor value, and not a single scientist outside the three co-authoring institutions.
Proven on the Moon, untried at Mercury
Uptake is still entirely in-house. The calibration has been applied twice — to lunar orbital data by its own authors, and to ground-based Mercury spectra including those from the Bok Telescope — and by nobody else. Renggli says plainly that confirmation waits on BepiColombo. Until MERTIS returns data, there is no independent user, no competing measurement, and no replication to point at.
A revision quoted without its baseline
'Up to 25% less abundant' carries the headline while the number it corrects goes unnamed, so a reader cannot tell whether Mercury lost a quarter of its assumed silica or twelve percentage points of it. The 'surprise' framing then runs straight to a hotter, deeper interior, when the same text concedes a wholly different explanation — oxygen loss from the crust — one sentence later. The overstatement is in emphasis and arithmetic vagueness rather than in any false statement.
The instrument that will confirm it belongs to a co-author
The University of Münster institute that helped lead MERTIS on BepiColombo is also on the paper that names MERTIS as the result's coming validation, and Renggli closes by describing the study as groundwork for interpreting those measurements. That is normal in planetary science and fully disclosed here — but it means a German institutional release simultaneously sets a prediction and owns the ruler. Phys.org relays the arrangement without remarking on it.
Clean account, single origin, dated resolution
Who did what, in what order, and why is reported consistently and with enough method detail to be argued with — which is more than most one-source science coverage offers. But the quantitative core rests on one release and one paper no other outlet in our coverage has read against, and the pivotal interpretation has a stated alternative. Confidence sits mid-scale and has an unusually specific expiry: November, when a spacecraft either reads 37% or does not.