Science1 publisher3 min readPublished
Cancer made up about 71 percent of the conditions the World Trade Center Health Program logged last year
Twenty-five years on, the program has documented more than 139,000 health conditions in more than 150,000 enrolled survivors and responders, about 38 percent of the 400,000 people the CDC estimates were exposed after the attacks.
The Scientist · Science desk

What happened
- As of June 30, 2026, the World Trade Center Health Program had documented more than 139,000 health conditions in the more than 150,000 survivors and first responders it covers.
- Cancer accounted for about 71 percent of the conditions the program recorded among those groups in the preceding 12 months.
- The CDC estimates that 400,000 people were exposed to toxic contaminants and to physically and emotionally stressful conditions in the days and weeks after the attacks.
Compiled by The ScientistSomething wrong?How this is made
Why it matters
- constraint A cohort that is screened and treated generates condition counts, so the 71 percent bounds what the program found in a year and cannot bound how much of that cancer the exposure produced.
- exposure Roughly 250,000 people the CDC counts as exposed sit outside program enrollment, so their illnesses never enter these figures and any estimate of total burden has to assume something about them.
- cost Each condition documented in a member is also a course of care the 2011 law obliges the federal program to fund, and this material puts no dollar figure on that obligation as cancer diagnoses accumulate.
The program's totals count conditions documented in people who enrolled for screening and covered care. An incidence rate is a different quantity. Screening finds disease, and it finds more of it than in a population nobody is examining. A growing count in a monitored group is partly a measure of how closely that group is being watched. The 71 percent describes one year of the program's records. Assigning those cancers to the dust would need rates from a comparable unexposed population, and this material does not report any.
The ranking has the same problem. Nonmelanoma skin cancer leads among cohort members living with cancer, then prostate, then breast. Without baseline rates for similar people who were not there, that ordering does not identify which cancers exposure raised. The rarer diagnoses on the same list are brain cancer, testicular cancer and leukemia. An unusual exposure would be easier to separate from ordinary background there. The source gives no counts for them.
More than 139,000 conditions across more than 150,000 members works out at roughly 0.93 conditions per person. That is not a statement that most members have one condition: documented conditions stack in individuals, so some carry several and others none. Enrollment of 150,000 against the CDC's estimate of 400,000 exposed is about 38 percent. Roughly 250,000 exposed people sit outside these figures entirely. Scientific American writes that the true health impact of the attacks is impossible to measure.
The clinics describe what they are seeing now. "We still see new patients, and a lot of our patients that are coming in now are coming in with a diagnosis of cancer or other latent conditions like interstitial lung disease," said Denise Harrison, clinical director at New York University Grossman School of Medicine's World Trade Center program.
On money, the material is thin. Treatment for dozens of conditions associated with the attacks is covered for survivors and first responders under the James Zadroga 9/11 Health and Compensation Act, signed into law in 2011 after years of lobbying by 9/11 health advocates. Many survivors and their families contend that this still does not account for the risks they faced. The source carries no appropriation figure and no projection of the cohort's future care costs. There is no enrollment forecast either. The case for sustained surveillance in this source rests on one clinical observation: new diagnoses are still arriving.
Matthew McCauley, a former police officer, was working as a law clerk blocks from the towers. He went on to help sift the rubble at Ground Zero, where fires burned for more than a month. The plume that rose over the financial district contained concrete, asbestos and glass, and reached more than a kilometer above it. He now has a persistent cough and sinus problems. "I wake up every morning, and you'd think that I smoked. I don't smoke," he told Scientific American. McCauley, now a lawyer for the advocacy organization 9/11 Health Watch, says he has known hundreds of people who died in the aftermath of the attacks.
What to watch
- Whether the WTC Health Program publishes incidence rates against a comparable unexposed population instead of condition counts.
- Whether enrollment grows toward the CDC's 400,000 exposure estimate, which would shrink the roughly 250,000 uncounted.
- Whether the program breaks out the rarer cancers on its list, including brain, testicular and leukemia, with counts and diagnosis dates.