Hydrologist Sandra Hauswirth's 1 km global groundwater model rates 57% of locations resilient to drought and 26% unstable. The classes map past recovery in simulated aquifers and are meant to help managers find reserves at risk of crossing critical thresholds.
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence45
A Washington State University-led study is the first to put land-based and offshore sources of nitrogen, phosphorus and silicon into a single account. The result is a map of where the human share dominates.
Reality
- Evidence60
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives58
- Confidence55
Mark de Kreij spotted verses from Book 12 on a scrap of parchment inside a collection Utrecht's library bought in the mid-20th century. About 30 comparable fragments are known, and his full catalogue is still to come.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives40
- Confidence62
A Southampton-led team models 100 million years of East Antarctic uplift and puts the ice sheet's origin in the deep Earth, not the atmosphere.
Reality
- Evidence48
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives70
- Confidence45
A Nature Climate Change study finds the same warming that leaves Atlantic currents intact near 5.5C if reached slowly can tip them at 2C at today's emissions rate.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+26
- Incentives42
- Confidence52