Customs and Border Protection accessed more than 80,000 Flock cameras in a 2025 pilot, one police department's without its knowledge. The cities and campuses that pay for the cameras are left answerable for searches they may never see.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption65
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives40
- Confidence55
Judge Kathleen Cardone halted border-wall building across Texas's 500-mile Big Bend region, one part of the administration's $46 billion programme. Contractors there now wait on a merits ruling, and upriver and downriver of the park they also wait on landowners who have not granted access.
Reality
- Evidence70
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives60
- Confidence70
Lisa Riley lost 16 pounds to a fake US Esta site and has had scam calls and texts every week in the 17 months since. For anyone booking US travel, the fee is the small part of the loss, because details typed into a lookalike site are sold on and reused.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence55
Four ICE observers allege in a partly unsealed filing that a DHS agent logged at least six observers in ICM, the case system Palantir built for ICE. Drawn largely from government documents, it traces how a plate lookup and a disputed photo match became a federal case record in one afternoon.
Perspective Coverage
3 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 25%
- Operator
- Operator 48%
- Investor
- Investor 27%
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption65
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives55
- Confidence60
Homeland Security plans to have Google's AI propose redactions on 100,000 to 140,000 FOIA requests by the end of September. Officers will review the suggestions, but the plan's stated payoff is faster processing, a measure that cannot show text blacked out in error.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption40
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives45
- Confidence55
A 25-page OTMP report names about 40 countries and specific industrial districts as transshipment routes. The follow-through will land on documentation, not duty rates.
Perspective Coverage
5 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 19%
- Operator
- Operator 40%
- Investor
- Investor 41%
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption25
- Hype gap+40
- Incentives60
- Confidence60
More than $100 billion in tariff money has gone back to importers, adding an estimated 0.2 point to third-quarter GDP. It does not repeat, and much of it is already promised to someone else.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption60
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives55
- Confidence62
Deaths were found inside the advertised range of nearly two-thirds of the roughly 600 towers mapped, and more than 110 of them sit within range of Anduril's autonomous systems installed since 2021.
Reality
- Evidence70
- Adoption78
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives58
- Confidence62
MIT Technology Review's 15-month investigation had to assemble its own dataset from other groups' records and sheriff reports in 17 Texas counties. Some of those counties charged between $300 and $1,300 to fill a request.
Reality
- Evidence72
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap−8
- Incentives50
- Confidence63
MIT Technology Review found more than 110 deaths inside the advertised range of Anduril's border towers since 2021. Tower footage is generally overwritten after 30 days, so no one can now say which stage of the alert chain failed.
Reality
- Evidence60
- Adoption70
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives60
- Confidence55
MIT Technology Review's 15-month investigation into US border surveillance puts the failure downstream of the cameras, at the step where a detection was supposed to turn into an agent arriving.
Reality
- Evidence57
- Adoption74
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives55
- Confidence52
Reporters covered nearly 600 of the 800 towers the government says are operating, and they had to assemble the map themselves from outside sources. Death records follow no shared protocol, so their count of more than 1,050 deaths nearby is a floor.
Reality
- Evidence72
- Adoption78
- Hype gap−18
- Incentives58
- Confidence62
The investigation found deaths inside the advertised range of nearly two-thirds of the towers it analysed, and most of them were not in blind spots. In the New Mexico case it follows closely, landfill workers made the call to Border Patrol.
Reality
- Evidence70
- Adoption82
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives55
- Confidence62
Panel installation is under way on the 47 miles Customs and Border Protection calls Big Bend 1, the first construction in a region organised against it. The agency says it is now putting up 12 miles a week.
Reality
- Evidence56
- Adoption44
- Hype gap+16
- Incentives72
- Confidence55
February's 6-3 Supreme Court ruling left the federal government owing importers somewhere between $166 billion and $175 billion in voided tariffs. The companies collecting it are now deciding whether the money is theirs to keep.
Reality
- Evidence20
- Adoption35
- Hype gap+40
- Incentives60
- Confidence25
A DHS document Kyle Olson received in discovery names the Spokane Sector unit that flagged his financial patterns to a Montana trooper, and it identifies neither the systems searched nor a crime he was suspected of.
Reality
- Evidence68
- Adoption35
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives55
- Confidence62
A Waterloo undergraduate was told to burn SIM cards and keep his Huawei phone out of the country. What got him noticed was standing on a forklift in a FedEx employee lot.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption22
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives55
- Confidence52
A Canadian PC maker says the memory shortage prices every unit he builds, while his tariff exposure turns on where the CPU was made. Input cost, not trade policy, is the hedgeable variable.
Reality
- Evidence34
- Adoption38
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives58
- Confidence44
Section 338 of the Tariff Act has never been aimed at Canada before. The carve-outs, not the headline rate, show what Washington thinks it can afford to tax.
Reality
- Evidence26
- Adoption32
- Hype gap+31
- Incentives58
- Confidence28
The Treasury paid out $71.2 billion in tariff refunds across May and June against $45.6 billion collected, per Tax Foundation figures. The deficit case for the import taxes now runs backwards.
Reality
- Evidence57
- Adoption72
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives62
- Confidence58