The Bern-led BELA team ran the instrument's laser in 10-second, 10-minute and hour-long steps on 14 September, confirming it survived eight years of cruise. The pulses went into open space.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption45
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives62
- Confidence62
Sarah Meier and Eric Strobl matched wildfire particulate data to volunteer bird counts on about 2,800 US survey routes from 2008 to 2022, and the diversity dip held on routes where nothing had burned within five kilometres.
Reality
- Evidence70
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+6
- Incentives42
- Confidence58
Sticklebacks bred for two generations in identical Bern tanks still did best at the exact stream their grandparents came from. Local adaptation sits at a finer scale than the lake-versus-stream contrast.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives55
- Confidence58
For the first time, the Earth-Theia collision has been simulated with temperature-dependent rock strength. Some runs still make the familiar debris disk; the hottest assemble an intact Moon in about five hours.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives55
- Confidence64
Since 2001, giant-impact models have treated Earth and Theia as strengthless fluid because geology looked irrelevant at those energies. Restoring temperature-dependent strength changes whether the Moon condenses out of debris or arrives whole.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives62
- Confidence57
The first paper built on ESA Hera's Deimos flyby argues a single roughly 320-metre impactor did both jobs, and that the moon is porous and fragile. JAXA's MMX inherits that finding.
Reality
- Evidence52
- Adoption22
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives62
- Confidence55
A 168-country study in People and Nature argues that the regions colonial powers targeted hardest were the most species-rich, and that the resulting extraction economies still structure poverty.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+28
- Incentives58
- Confidence38
About a hundred SPH runs at the University of Bern converge on a single non-destructive strike as the source of Deimos's south-polar depression and its global regolith. The surface is ejecta, and it is weak.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption34
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives58
- Confidence55