A Democratic think tank wants the word dropped, Sunrise has moved its organising to fighting authoritarianism, and the 6 in 10 Democrats who still call climate a very big problem are being asked to rank it lower.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives60
- Confidence55
Tom Cole and Lloyd Smucker have both said the payroll side of Social Security is open for discussion before the 2032 benefit cut, and the cap they would move sits at $184,500 of wages taxed at 12.4% between worker and employer.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+28
- Incentives52
- Confidence56
A designation would restrict what American vendors can ship to Appin, and because the Entity List covers exports and not services, the law firms and foreign courts the company has used against reporters stay available.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives75
- Confidence50
Wood Mackenzie puts the 2026 industry windfall at $495 billion above pre-war expectations. Two of the three bills in Congress tax the Brent price rather than profit, which changes the shape of the trade.
Reality
- Evidence44
- Adoption34
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives62
- Confidence46
A Tax Foundation analysis puts a decade of deficit reduction from taxing carried interest as ordinary income at $16.3 billion, and at $6.1 billion once behavior adjusts.
Reality
- Evidence48
- Adoption8
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives72
- Confidence42