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National Football League

US professional football league whose former players form the study population and which promotes and invests in flag football.

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investConfirmed2 publishers

Kalshi CEO says the fight is not state versus federal but whether prediction markets stay in the U.S. or go offshore, as appeals courts split 1-2

Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour says state policing would drive US prediction markets offshore, though two of three appeals courts have sided with states. Sports slid from 95% of Kalshi's revenue to about two-thirds, a share change that cannot show how much volume left.

Publishers:coindesk.com cryptobriefing.com

Reality

Evidence58
Adoption
Insufficient
Hype gap+20
Incentives80
Confidence65
investOne report1 publisher

States and tribal nations press the Supreme Court to rule on sports prediction contracts

Thirty-nine states, D.C., 145 tribal nations, the NFL and Gary Gensler urged the Supreme Court to decide whether sports prediction contracts are swaps. Two of the three appeals courts to rule have called those contracts state-regulated gambling, so platforms on federal licenses still face two possible regulators.

Publishers:coindesk.com

Reality

Evidence55
Adoption
Insufficient
Hype gap+5
Incentives65
Confidence55