Gyeonggi Province has asked Seoul to designate 6.9 square kilometers of Paju a Peace Economic Zone under a 2 trillion won plan. Paju is one of several sites the province is preparing for a program meant to produce only about four zones nationwide.
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives70
- Confidence45
The average Seoul officetel jeonse deposit reached 237.37 million won in August, the highest since records began in 2011, and the spread between a new contract and a renewal now runs to 200 million won as apartment jeonse listings fall 21 per cent.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence55
Zigbang has Bundang up 29.5% over twelve months, the highest of any district in South Korea. The individual sales behind that number pair different floors, and the new Pangyo builds are rising just as fast.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives50
- Confidence55
Cushman & Wakefield's survey puts Korea fourth in Asia-Pacific residential preference, behind three markets that already collect monthly rent, which means Seoul assets compete for the residual of a $33.2 billion five-year pool.
Reality
- Evidence57
- Adoption63
- Hype gap+19
- Incentives68
- Confidence56
Korea's land ministry has asked government lawyers whether costs that moved between a failed tender and an unsigned contract can enter the price. A 10.7 trillion won airport and thirteen regional builders wait on the answer.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption35
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives78
- Confidence48
Taewang E&C, third-largest in Daegu, entered rehabilitation as general contractor closure filings rose 23.6 percent and 148 regional project finance sites went up for sale.
Reality
- Evidence63
- Adoption71
- Hype gap+11
- Incentives58
- Confidence57
A plenary vote on the 26th would clear Camp Kim for apartments, but MOLIT and Seoul still disagree over the park itself, and that split is what sets the supply timeline.
Reality
- Evidence38
- Adoption14
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives72
- Confidence42
HUG and MOLIT's three-party lease has the state hold the tenant's deposit and pay the landlord monthly. The counterparty risk does not disappear; it changes address.
Reality
- Evidence22
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+54
- Incentives84
- Confidence41
Haan Jugong 1 through 12 all moved toward rebuilding, leaving two or three units for sale per complex. A 76-square-meter unit printed 1.12 billion won, up 200 to 300 million in under a year.
Reality
- Evidence32
- Adoption34
- Hype gap+24
- Incentives61
- Confidence33
The Aug. 13 fast-track plan books 27,000 homes and promises 73,000 more plots by year-end. Whether the second number exists depends on a meeting between the land minister and Seoul's mayor.
Reality
- Evidence48
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+31
- Incentives74
- Confidence45
Most sites for the public housing units held back on Aug. 13 sit in protected land near Gangnam, Songpa and Hanam. The ministry says it will name candidate locations by early October.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption48
- Hype gap+26
- Incentives62
- Confidence38
MOLIT has finalized an equity-accumulation format for part of its public housing: 25 percent at move-in, the rest in tranches over 20 to 30 years. First units could price in the fourth quarter.
Reality
- Evidence52
- Adoption18
- Hype gap+24
- Incentives62
- Confidence44
Seoul raised holding taxes on the 3rd and promised 230,000 greater-Seoul homes on the 13th. Only one prior supply plan can be scored, and it is running at 24.2 percent.
Reality
- Evidence34
- Adoption23
- Hype gap+42
- Incentives68
- Confidence41