South Korea replaced its Prosecutors' Office with two agencies on October 2, leaving prosecutors able to charge but no longer investigate. Anyone facing a serious-crimes probe now deals with investigators at one agency and a charging decision at another.
Reality
- Evidence70
- Adoption40
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives60
- Confidence65
A 0.38 percent margin in Seoul and Gyeonggi left Kim with an 8.41-point cumulative lead into the Aug 17 convention. The genuinely contested race is now the supreme council, not the chair.
Reality
- Evidence72
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives60
- Confidence66
The Democratic Party has told the government not to tax single-home owners differently for living elsewhere, which puts the drafted 900 million won deduction and the 200% increase cap back in play.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence55
Gyeonggi's governor wants the local consumption tax rate taken from 25.3% to 40.3% in stages, plus a twentieth of corporate tax revenue sent to regional governments. Kim Min-seok said the party would discuss it.
Reality
- Evidence44
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+14
- Incentives76
- Confidence52
A Democratic Party panel has finished reviewing the June 3 local elections and put housing policy beside the candidate and the campaign in explaining Seoul. Officials are still weighing whether to publish it.
Reality
- Evidence36
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+14
- Incentives74
- Confidence44
Two weeks after being named minister of gender equality and family, Yong Hye-in gave up the nomination at a National Assembly news conference on the 13th and said she will go back to her work as a lawmaker.
Reality
- Evidence76
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives72
- Confidence74
A party-government plan hands redevelopment approval authority for projects of 500 units or fewer to district heads. For sponsors, the counterparty changes before the politics resolve.
Reality
- Evidence32
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+28
- Incentives74
- Confidence40
Democratic Party leader Kim Min-seok backs the overhaul's direction and wants the exemption list read broadly. The 900 million won deduction may hold; the number of owners it reaches may not.
Reality
- Evidence34
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+14
- Incentives62
- Confidence41
The July index rose 0.13 points to 3.18%, and KB Kookmin and Woori reprice variable mortgages from the 19th. The tax change that might ease the exit is now being renegotiated.
Reality
- Evidence52
- Adoption64
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives45
- Confidence55