other
Southeast Asia's largest economy and most populous nation, an archipelago known for commodity exports, bond markets, and recurring peat and forest fires.
No evidence-backed relationships are recorded.
Iran and Oman plan to charge ships to pass Hormuz, and Indonesia briefly floated a toll on Malacca, which carries about 29% of maritime oil flows. With the maritime courts unable to enforce their rulings, passage fees look like a cost that lasts for years.
Reality
Local-currency emerging-market bonds returned 9% to 19% in dollars in 2025, their best year since 2019, and the investors now holding the paper are domestic. Foreign holders of Mexican bonds are down to about 11%.
Reality
An eruption and a cross-border haze episode hit Indonesia in the same week. The aviation disruption came with counts. The health figures quoted for Sarawak and Manila arrive as associations.
Reality
Sarawak's emergency turns on a single pollution index crossing a policy threshold, a number that describes the air at a sensor rather than the dose a district has breathed, and neither AFP dispatch carries a comparable reading for Singapore or Brunei.
Reality
Copernicus says the emissions match previous major El Nino years for the date. The 1997 analogue reached 2.5 gigatonnes of CO2, roughly four months of global fossil fuel burning at then-current rates.
Reality
A record-strength El Nino has moved from forecast to administrative emergency in the Central American Dry Corridor. The government says the crisis runs to March or April.
Reality
Nearly $2 billion of US global health assistance is moving through faith-based channels, with $850 million to a single grantee. The work now is subaward plumbing, not rhetoric.
Reality