Ethereum will activate Glamsterdam, likely its largest fork since the Merge according to a core developer, on the Sepolia testnet on Oct. 6. It reprices gas and lays groundwork for higher layer-1 gas limits, with no date yet for the Hoodi testnet or mainnet.
Reality
- Evidence60
- Adoption10
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives40
- Confidence62
Vitalik Buterin's "cryptographic world computer" post sets a target of 8-to-32-second finality against the roughly 200 seconds 12 confirmations take today. The forks after Hegota would rebuild verification, consensus and block construction.
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence45
Vitalik Buterin says Ethereum's Hegotá upgrade, planned for 2027, is likely the last fork that someone who knew Ethereum in 2015 would recognize. The work he expects to follow has no dates yet, so ETH holders are pricing a long rebuild of the protocol off a single milestone.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives35
- Confidence55
Talks to reconcile Base's EIP-8130 with Ethereum's EIP-8141 broke down last week. Both chains will now ship their own native smart accounts. Derek Chiang, who co-authored Ethereum's proposal, says wallets carry the burden.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption24
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives62
- Confidence66
L2 pushback on EIP-8141 Frame Transactions keeps native AA out of Hegota's headliner slot for now, and the Ethereum Foundation has dropped its Poseidon hash for standard ones.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption48
- Hype gap−12
- Incentives68
- Confidence45