China has suspended refined fuel exports with its refiners at about 75% of capacity and US plants at 97%. Any extra diesel now depends on Beijing, while Washington weighs an export ban that would push higher prices onto other importers.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives60
- Confidence40
Exxon Mobil and Suncor argue that the Constitution's structure bars Boulder's climate-cost suit from state court, in a case the Supreme Court hears October 5. Vox reports they cite no clause of the text, so the case tests the justices' textualism as much as Boulder's claim.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+20
- Incentives60
- Confidence40
The National Assembly named Steve Hanke special adviser and told him to write a full dollarization law. He puts the odds of passage at 50% to 80%.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives65
- Confidence40
Carlyle agreed to pay $22 billion for Lukoil's overseas assets in January 2026. OFAC's licences since then cover negotiation and maintenance through October 22, and Romania's Petrotel refinery went into insolvency.
Reality
- Evidence22
- Adoption30
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives45
- Confidence30
Starbase Louisiana turns Starship scaling into a fixed-capex problem. At 30 flights a day the pads cost about $913,000 a launch to amortize; at 1,000 flights a year they cost $10 million.
Perspective Coverage
3 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 30%
- Operator
- Operator 30%
- Investor
- Investor 40%
Reality
- Evidence72
- Adoption12
- Hype gap+62
- Incentives80
- Confidence71