other
Natural climate pattern of unusually warm central and eastern Pacific sea surface temperatures that promotes Pacific hurricane activity and suppresses Atlantic activity.
No evidence-backed relationships are recorded.
NOAA raised its below-normal odds for the 2026 Atlantic season by 20 points in August. The figure describes an ocean basin, and it says nothing about where a storm makes landfall.
Reality
A record-strength El Nino has moved from forecast to administrative emergency in the Central American Dry Corridor. The government says the crisis runs to March or April.
Reality
Forecasters expect fewer than 10 named storms this Atlantic season, but roughly nine-tenths of an average season's storm energy normally arrives after mid-August.
Reality