TrueUp, which tracks more than 9,000 tech companies, counts more than 280,000 open tech jobs, up strongly from the start of 2026. With layoffs easing, plans that assume AI is already shrinking tech hiring are ahead of what this count shows.
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives35
- Confidence45
CUDA engineers, among tech's most sought-after specialists, increasingly supervise AI that writes and tests hundreds of GPU kernels. At base salaries Nvidia advertises as high as $431,250, employers are now paying for judgement about code the engineers did not write.
Reality
- Evidence50
- Adoption30
- Hype gap+35
- Incentives70
- Confidence45
Business Insider's year-later series on the H-1B crackdown opens with a Northwestern graduate who left Chicago for Germany after her employer said it could not sponsor her visa. The sponsorship call was the employer's.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption52
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives48
- Confidence60
Business Insider's interviews with former Google, Apple and Microsoft staff show the same grant working both ways: the vested half pays for the risk of leaving while the unvested half is what the employer can cancel.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+28
- Incentives58
- Confidence55
Business Insider's tour of the city's squeezed cohort found a bakery owner who paid himself $40,000 last year and a project manager on about $120,000 who cut her internet package to $40 a month and moved into a shared apartment.
Reality
- Evidence52
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives62
- Confidence55
San Francisco's July median rose 6% on an 18.4% drop in listings, which is a supply squeeze more than a wealth shock, and the $198bn that would make it a wealth shock depends on two IPOs that have not happened.
Reality
- Evidence30
- Adoption34
- Hype gap+45
- Incentives68
- Confidence36
Repeated layoffs have made brand-name employers look risky to workers whose jobs hold their immigration status. Two engineers told Business Insider they left Amazon and Oracle for firms they judged steadier.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+24
- Incentives41
- Confidence40