South Korea's People Power Party wants intelligence agencies in a joint probe of hacks it says have hit six lenders, four of them commercial banks. Its spokesperson concedes the attacker is unknown, so whether the six share one cause will decide who answers for them.
Reality
- Evidence25
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+40
- Incentives75
- Confidence30
Seoul High Court rules Oct. 23 on Mayor Oh Se-hoon's appeal of a 10 million won fine that would cost him his post under the Political Funds Act. Daegu Mayor Choo Kyung-ho and Rep. Kim Gi-hyeon also face special-counsel verdicts from mid-October, so the opposition has two city halls and an Assembly seat before the courts this autumn.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+10
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence50
South Korea's opposition says the agency replacing the Prosecution Service drew applicants for only 68% of its authorized posts before opening on October 2. By that count, the new investigative body starts nearly a third short of its planned staff even if every applicant is hired.
Reality
- Evidence30
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+45
- Incentives80
- Confidence35
A 0.38 percent margin in Seoul and Gyeonggi left Kim with an 8.41-point cumulative lead into the Aug 17 convention. The genuinely contested race is now the supreme council, not the chair.
Reality
- Evidence72
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives60
- Confidence66
Finance and Economy, Land and Infrastructure and SMEs all change hands inside a ten-post announcement. The opposition has already named the Justice nominee as the fight that will set the hearing calendar.
Reality
- Evidence68
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+5
- Incentives75
- Confidence68
A Democratic Party panel has finished reviewing the June 3 local elections and put housing policy beside the candidate and the campaign in explaining Seoul. Officials are still weighing whether to publish it.
Reality
- Evidence36
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+14
- Incentives74
- Confidence44
A Seoul investigation team wanted justice minister nominee Kim Seung-won prosecuted and sentenced to eight months over a request to speed a COVID-19 trial approval. The Supreme Prosecutors' Office suspended the indictment instead.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives68
- Confidence38