A party-government plan hands redevelopment approval authority for projects of 500 units or fewer to district heads. For sponsors, the counterparty changes before the politics resolve.
Reality
- Evidence32
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+28
- Incentives74
- Confidence40
A plenary vote on the 26th would clear Camp Kim for apartments, but MOLIT and Seoul still disagree over the park itself, and that split is what sets the supply timeline.
Reality
- Evidence38
- Adoption14
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives72
- Confidence42
Won-loan delinquency hit 0.56% in June, the highest for that month since 2016. All of the deterioration sits on the corporate side, and small firms are carrying it.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption25
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives45
- Confidence52
The Aug. 13 fast-track plan books 27,000 homes and promises 73,000 more plots by year-end. Whether the second number exists depends on a meeting between the land minister and Seoul's mayor.
Reality
- Evidence48
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+31
- Incentives74
- Confidence45
Most sites for the public housing units held back on Aug. 13 sit in protected land near Gangnam, Songpa and Hanam. The ministry says it will name candidate locations by early October.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption48
- Hype gap+26
- Incentives62
- Confidence38
The land ministry put all 3.03 million square metres of Yongsan Park in play. The district, the city government and the park's own special act all stand in the way.
Reality
- Evidence60
- Adoption10
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives65
- Confidence55