New York, New Hampshire, Connecticut and Oregon moved to pause or refuse new data centers between July and September, consultant Arif Gasilov said. For companies whose AI plans assume new capacity, permission to build now depends on state politics.
Reality
- Evidence35
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives
- Insufficient
- Confidence35
Firebird AI runs 6,144 Blackwell GPUs on 15 megawatts at Hrazdan and has committed $4 billion toward more than 70,000 chips and 300 megawatts by the end of 2027. A 2025 memorandum with Washington made the shipments legal.
Reality
- Evidence30
- Adoption38
- Hype gap+40
- Incentives60
- Confidence35
The opposition numbers land on product teams, because an AI feature that fires without being asked bills compute for every user and adds load in towns already organizing against the next build.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption50
- Hype gap+30
- Incentives65
- Confidence50
Shapiro's August order makes developers earn town-level support before they can apply to the state, and bring paid-for power of their own. With seven in ten Americans opposed to local AI data centers, that first step is the costly one.
Reality
- Evidence58
- Adoption34
- Hype gap+28
- Incentives84
- Confidence57
With 2,059 more US data centers planned and three-quarters of Americans opposed to having one near them, local consent is now the part of the buildout that committed capital cannot put on a calendar.
Reality
- Evidence64
- Adoption71
- Hype gap+34
- Incentives76
- Confidence66
Local opposition has hardened into a siting constraint that relocates capacity rather than stopping it. The replacement sites carry worse latency, harder repair access, and pilot-stage scale.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption24
- Hype gap+46
- Incentives74
- Confidence38
SpaceX, Blue Origin, Google and Starcloud have filings out for well over a million compute satellites. The deadline is a sales pitch; the paperwork is a read on ground power and permitting.
Reality
- Evidence24
- Adoption18
- Hype gap+58
- Incentives72
- Confidence28