Eurozone businesses must accept the digital euro by 2029, a free payment option aimed at the 47% of card payment value that Visa and Mastercard process. Adyen, a pilot member, says merchant demand is still thin, so the networks are likelier to feel it in their fees before their share.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption12
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives65
- Confidence50
The Securities and Futures Commission is drafting a digital-asset licensing regime alongside the upgrade, and the Hong Kong dollar stablecoin already in circulation totalled 522,000 tokens on August 19.
Reality
- Evidence48
- Adoption22
- Hype gap+32
- Incentives58
- Confidence45
A speech the BIS published on September 15 puts the Pontes settlement link live this month, Appia's market integration in 2028 and a possible first digital euro issuance in 2029, with the legislation that date depends on due by late this year.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption
- Insufficient
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives60
- Confidence45
Binance spent about 18 months on its Greek MiCA file and withdrew it on June 24, a week before the deadline, after Greek officials had already told ESMA the regulator intended to approve.
Reality
- Evidence45
- Adoption72
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives62
- Confidence50
Cloture on H.R. 3633 failed 49-50 on Sept. 15 with every yes vote Republican. Add the four Republican noes back to the yes column and the count reaches 53, still seven short of the 60 the Senate requires.
Reality
- Evidence62
- Adoption68
- Hype gap+15
- Incentives60
- Confidence58
SEBI and the Reserve Bank of India now have 10.25 billion rupees of corporate debt live on a permissioned ledger settled in wholesale digital rupees, with the depositories holding the private keys and 23 investors holding the bonds.
Reality
- Evidence68
- Adoption42
- Hype gap+18
- Incentives62
- Confidence66
Ping An, Bank of Shanghai and Bank of Hangzhou join a list that has gone from 10 to 30 in a year. Beijing is buying distribution it could not win on product.
Perspective Coverage
4 publishers
- Builder
- Builder 24%
- Operator
- Operator 36%
- Investor
- Investor 40%
Reality
- Evidence64
- Adoption52
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives62
- Confidence72
The People Power Party's leader says he opposes a central bank digital currency until safeguards are written into law. The July expansion of Project Hangang cleared through the Financial Services Commission.
Reality
- Evidence40
- Adoption28
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives72
- Confidence45
Demat 2.0 settled REC, L&T and IIFL paper against the wholesale digital rupee on the day of bidding, with the same ISINs, coupons and ratings the bonds would have carried anyway.
Reality
- Evidence55
- Adoption35
- Hype gap+25
- Incentives65
- Confidence50
Hyun Song Shin says he sees room for the won-dollar rate to fall further. He also sizes Korea's up-to-$20bn-a-year US investment pledge at 4.7 per cent of $427bn in reserves, a comparison meant to show that the flow is one the country can absorb.
Reality
- Evidence44
- Adoption38
- Hype gap+26
- Incentives71
- Confidence41
Named telecoms and marketplaces begin taking the state's digital ruble on September 1, and a phased law makes acceptance compulsory by 2028, while paying with crypto stays illegal.
Reality
- Evidence42
- Adoption48
- Hype gap+22
- Incentives55
- Confidence40
Russia's two dominant marketplaces say they will accept digital rubles from September 1, with wallets opening inside existing bank apps. The mandate for large chains is dated a year later.
Reality
- Evidence28
- Adoption24
- Hype gap+34
- Incentives68
- Confidence33
The August 17 approval of eight more operators roughly triples the digital yuan's distribution network this year. Connectivity is no longer the constraint; adoption is.
Reality
- Evidence46
- Adoption41
- Hype gap+14
- Incentives63
- Confidence48
A planned change declined cards nationwide for hours on a Saturday afternoon. The failure mode operators should be rehearsing is their own change window, not somebody else's attack.
Reality
- Evidence48
- Adoption58
- Hype gap+12
- Incentives62
- Confidence52