Skip to content

Science1 publisher3 min readPublished

Deleting two convenient assumptions tips a consensus model into an echo chamber

A PNAS paper takes a network model that never produced echo chambers, strips out the assumptions that agents share all their evidence and watch every neighbour, and gets a consensus decoupled from the world.

The Scientist · Science desk

Illustration accompanying Deleting two convenient assumptions tips a consensus model into an echo chamber

What happened

  • Tropical army ants sometimes fall into a circular pheromone trail, with the ants behind following the leader around the loop until the whole group collapses and dies.
  • A paper published on 22 September in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences used mathematical models to test which parameters make such self-reinforcing loops more or less likely.
  • Two factors broke the loop in the models: agents at the periphery picking up information from the environment, and individuals who recognise their decisions are wrong and ignore the group.

Compiled by The ScientistSomething wrong?How this is made

Why it matters

  • constraint Conclusions drawn from the idealised class of consensus model transfer poorly to animals or cells, since Hein says its two assumptions appear violated in every system the team could think of.
  • decision Anyone using network consensus models to explain a flock, a swarm or a tissue now has to specify which version they mean, because one of them cannot spiral and the other can.
  • capability Breaking a locked group may not require changing the majority of it; inside the model a small fraction of agents ignoring the group some of the time was enough. That is a target experimenters can try in a real swarm.
  • precedent The move here is reusable: take a canonical model, delete the assumptions that made it tractable, and check whether its headline behaviour survives the deletion.

They did not have to build a control. One already existed. In the network models Kong, Hein and colleagues started from, built by earlier researchers, each agent passed along the actual data behind its choice, and every agent could attend to all of its neighbours at once [10][12]. Those models never produced echo chambers [12]. Hein put the first assumption this way: "It's as if I express my opinion to you, but instead of telling you what my opinion is, I tell you everything that I ever learned that caused me to form that opinion," he said [11].

Both assumptions are false of nearly everything alive. "One of the reasons why we found these assumptions interesting is that they appear to be violated in every system we could think of," Hein said [13]. An animal usually sees a neighbour's discrete action without the internal information that produced it, and it can attend to only a few neighbours at a moment [7][8]. So the team removed the assumptions, one at a time and together [14].

Stripped of both assumptions, the groups still reached consensus. "Individuals can reach a consensus decision but it becomes totally decoupled from the state of the world around them," Hein said [16]. In the paper's account, the two constraints make each individual extremely sensitive to the messages it receives, and the group settles into sending and receiving the same messages back and forth [9].

Stripping the assumptions separately matters for what the study can claim. The same model family produces no echo chambers when both idealisations hold, so the dysfunction traces to those assumptions and not to the wiring of the network [12][14].

Agents at the periphery are connected to the centre but also pick up information from their environment, and their change spreads through the group [17]. "It's really the free spirits, the individuals who have stayed at the edge and don't have many social influences, who are the first ones to change," Hein said. "They can set off a cascade." [18][19] Defection breaks the loop too: individuals who recognise their decisions are wrong and start ignoring the group [20]. "If some of the individuals in the network, even just a small fraction of them, do that some of the time, it will destroy an echo chamber," Hein said [21]. How small a fraction, and how often, the account does not say [26].

Army ants supply the vivid case; the models are general, covering birds in a flock, cells in tissue and ants in a swarm [5]. A mill begins when one ant walks in a circle and the ants behind follow the pheromone trail until they collapse and die [1][2]. "This is a physical instance of an echo chamber, where the animals involved actually die," Hein said [4]. A model can show that two constraints are sufficient to produce the loop [6][9]. Deciding whether real groups sit in that regime takes field or laboratory measurement.

The authors make the human comparison themselves. In people, the paper says, the phenomenon appears when individuals send and receive similar messages and lack external sources of differing information [23]. "It happens when people are telling each other the same thing, but there's also an implication that this group has become unresponsive to what's actually happening in the world around them," Hein said [24]. The tests ran on model agents. The paper, whose first author is Ling-Wei Kong, appeared in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences on 22 September [22][6].

What to watch

  • Whether the full PNAS paper reports a critical fraction of group-ignoring agents and a connectivity threshold for peripheral ones. The phys.org account does not.
  • Any field or laboratory work that measures whether real army ant mills, fish schools or cell sheets sit inside the parameter region the models flag.
  • Whether other collective-behaviour models get the same treatment: idealised assumptions deleted one at a time to see if the published result survives.
Loading claim ledger
Loading source directory links
Loading share composer
Loading topic controls
Loading related stories